Jessica Pegula vs Xin Yu WangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5w3 meetings · sets 3–4
🇨🇳Xin Yu Wang
#39 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
Jessica Pegula and Xin Yu Wang have met 3 times since 2024; Xin Yu Wang leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2024 on grass. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 3 sets to Wang's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Indian Wells (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Yu Wang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Xin Yu Wang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 31/51 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 27/66 | 35% | 11/31 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 29/53 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 69% | 9/13 | 0% | 0/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 39/44 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 31/44 | 69% | 9/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 1, Yu Wang 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Wang
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jessica Pegula.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 7, 2025
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 32
Oct 10, 2024
Wuhan
H Hard · Round of 16
Jul 3, 2024
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pegula | Wang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jessica Pegula | Xin Yu Wang | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 17/19 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 1.60 |
| ROI % | +4.8% | -23.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.86u | -0.94u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km |
| Route | — | SGP → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Wang's 30%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Donna Vekic | W 46 62 63 | W 61 62 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 63 75 | L 57 62 36 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 64 26 76 | L 67 46 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 64 46 06 | L 46 36 |
| Linda Noskova | L 46 64 36 | W 75 64 |
| Rebeka Masarova | W 60 60 | L 36 26 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 62 36 46 | L 26 46 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | W 46 63 62 | W 46 64 64 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 64 | L 36 67 |
| Varvara Gracheva | W 64 60 | L 64 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Sonay Kartal
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tatiana Prozorova
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Joanna Garland
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Donna Vekic
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 22
Anna Kalinskaya
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Tamara Korpatsch
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Lilli Tagger
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Lois Boisson
Strasbourg · Round of 32
May 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–66 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 77% | 45% |
| Sets won | 69% | 47% |
| Games won | 57% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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