Jessica Pegula vs Xin Yu WangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈJessica Pegula
#3 Β· 32 yrs Β· Right-Handed
3 meetings Β· sets 3β4

π¨π³Xin Yu Wang
Unranked Β· 24 yrs Β· Right-Handed
14wJessica Pegula and Xin Yu Wang have met 3 times since 2024; Xin Yu Wang leads 2β1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2024 on grass. On hard courts they are level 1β1. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 3 sets to Wang's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Indian Wells (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Yu Wang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Xin Yu Wang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 31/57 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | 25% | 4/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 35/76 | 32% | 9/28 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 30/60 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 0% | 0/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 42/48 | 80% | 8/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 31/48 | 70% | 7/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 1, Yu Wang 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
π₯ Big Hitter
Wang
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π€ Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 7, 2025
Indian Wells
H Hard Β· Round of 32
Oct 10, 2024
Wuhan
H Hard Β· Round of 16
Jul 3, 2024
Wimbledon
G Grass Β· Round of 64
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17β5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | - |
| ROI % | +10.4% | - |
| Units P/L | +2.29u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | β |
| Events | 3 | β |
| Matches | 11 | β |
| Distance | 761 mi Β· 1,225 km | β |
| Route | AUT β CAN β POL | β |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Wang's 22%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Amanda Anisimova | W 64 26 76 | L 67 46 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 64 46 06 | L 46 36 |
| Linda Noskova | L 46 64 36 | W 75 64 |
| Rebeka Masarova | W 60 60 | L 36 26 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 62 36 46 | L 26 46 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | W 46 63 62 | W 46 64 64 |
| Ajla Tomljanovic | W 60 63 | L 36 16 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 64 | L 36 67 |
| Varvara Gracheva | W 64 60 | L 64 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 6
Tamara Korpatsch
Roland Garros Β· Round of 64
May 27
Lilli Tagger
Roland Garros Β· Round of 128
May 26
Lois Boisson
Strasbourg Β· Round of 32
May 19
Alexandra Eala
Rome Β· Round of 64
May 7
Laura Samson
Madrid Β· Round of 64
Apr 23
Chloe Paquet
Rouen Β· Round of 32
Apr 15
Caty Mcnally
Miami Β· Round of 64
Mar 19
Ajla Tomljanovic
Indian Wells Β· Round of 64
Mar 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 28β76 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 43% |
| Sets won | 66% | 43% |
| Games won | 56% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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