Jessica Pegula vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇫🇷Varvara Gracheva
#148 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
24wJessica Pegula and Varvara Gracheva have met 1 time since 2026; Jessica Pegula leads 1–0. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 2 sets to Gracheva's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 31/57 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | 20% | 2/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 35/76 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 30/60 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 42/48 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 31/48 | 20% | 1/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 1, Gracheva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Gracheva
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Jessica Pegula and Varvara Gracheva are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Feb 17, 2026
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | - |
| ROI % | +10.4% | - |
| Units P/L | +2.29u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 11 | — |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | — |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Gracheva's 17%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 61 63 | L 67 26 |
| Linda Noskova | L 46 64 36 | W 62 26 75 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 62 36 46 | L 57 26 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 63 76 | L 46 36 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 64 | L 36 16 |
| Ann Li | W 61 62 | L 46 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 16
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 2nd Round
Feb 10
Laura Siegemund
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 1st Round
Feb 8
Elena Rybakina
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round
Jan 22
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 16–76 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 38% |
| Sets won | 66% | 36% |
| Games won | 56% | 43% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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