Jessica Pegula vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5w1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇫🇷Varvara Gracheva
#172 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
30wJessica Pegula and Varvara Gracheva have met 1 time since 2026; Jessica Pegula leads 1–0. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 2 sets to Gracheva's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 31/51 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 22% | 2/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 27/66 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 29/53 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 69% | 9/13 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 39/44 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 31/44 | 44% | 4/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 1, Gracheva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Gracheva
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Feb 17, 2026
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | - |
| ROI % | +4.8% | - |
| Units P/L | +0.86u | - |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Gracheva's 50%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Magdalena Frech | W 36 63 62 | W 64 46 75 |
| Linda Noskova | L 46 64 36 | W 62 26 75 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | W 16 61 76 | W 62 61 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 62 36 46 | L 57 26 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 63 76 | L 46 36 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 64 | L 36 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 16
Magdalena Frech
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Priscilla Hon
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 13
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 2nd Round
Feb 10
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–66 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 77% | 53% |
| Sets won | 69% | 48% |
| Games won | 57% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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