Jessica Pegula vs Taylor TownsendPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 3–4
🇺🇸Taylor Townsend
#95 · 30 yrs · Left-Handed
Jessica Pegula and Taylor Townsend have met 3 times since 2020; Taylor Townsend leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2020 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 3 sets to Townsend's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Townsend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Taylor Townsend | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 31/57 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 35/76 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 30/60 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 42/48 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 31/48 | 75% | 9/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 1, Townsend 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Townsend
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 16, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 11, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 22, 2020
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pegula | Townsend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jessica Pegula | Taylor Townsend | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 76% | 16/21 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 7/21 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–5 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 2.75 |
| ROI % | +10.4% | -7.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.29u | -0.56u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 12 | 5 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Townsend's 10%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 26 46 | L 46 06 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 75 46 64 | L 16 62 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 62 36 46 | L 36 46 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 63 76 | L 76 67 46 |
| Iva Jovic | W 46 63 61 | L 57 26 |
| Rebeka Masarova | W 60 60 | W 57 62 62 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 16 46 | L 36 26 |
| Katie Boulter | W 64 64 | L 46 26 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 62 63 | L 36 61 26 |
| Hailey Baptiste | W 64 46 76 | L 36 76 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Marie Bouzkova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Tereza Valentova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Iga Swiatek
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Bad Homburg WTA
Jun 21
Martina Trevisan
Bad Homburg WTA
Jun 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 24–76 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 50% |
| Sets won | 66% | 53% |
| Games won | 56% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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