Jessica Pegula vs Taylor TownsendPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5w3 meetings · sets 3–4
🇺🇸Taylor Townsend
#89 · 30 yrs · Left-Handed
4w3Jessica Pegula and Taylor Townsend have met 3 times since 2020; Taylor Townsend leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2020 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 3 sets to Townsend's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Townsend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Taylor Townsend | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 31/51 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 27/66 | 34% | 12/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 29/53 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 69% | 9/13 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 39/44 | 89% | 16/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 31/44 | 83% | 15/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 1, Townsend 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Townsend
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jessica Pegula.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 16, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 11, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 22, 2020
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pegula | Townsend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jessica Pegula | Taylor Townsend | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 17/19 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 5 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 60% | 6/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | 7–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 2.47 |
| ROI % | +4.8% | +27.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.86u | +2.73u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Townsend's 20%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 57 26 | L 46 36 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 36 | W 62 67 63 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 63 62 | L 63 16 46 |
| Coco Gauff | L 26 46 | L 46 06 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 75 46 64 | L 16 62 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 62 36 46 | L 36 46 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 63 76 | L 76 67 46 |
| Iva Jovic | W 46 63 61 | L 57 26 |
| Rebeka Masarova | W 60 60 | W 57 62 62 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 16 46 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Tatjana Maria
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Diana Shnaider
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Taylah Preston
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Maja Chwalinska
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–66 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 77% | 63% |
| Sets won | 69% | 60% |
| Games won | 57% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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