Jessica Pegula vs Sofia KeninPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5w6 meetings · sets 10–5
🇺🇸Sofia Kenin
#125 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
4Jessica Pegula and Sofia Kenin have met 6 times since 2018; Jessica Pegula leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Quebec City in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 3–1. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Pegula has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Pegula leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 10 sets to Kenin's 5. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Sofia Kenin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 31/51 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 27/66 | 41% | 15/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 29/53 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 69% | 9/13 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 39/44 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 31/44 | 40% | 6/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 3, Kenin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Kenin
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 272 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Sep 2, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 6, 2025
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · Final
Aug 29, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 5, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Feb 3, 2021
Yarra Valley Classic - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 15, 2018
Quebec City
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pegula | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jessica Pegula | Sofia Kenin | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 17/19 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 5 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | 2–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 3.54 |
| ROI % | +4.8% | -63.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.86u | -5.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 1,246 mi · 2,005 km |
| Route | — | POR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Kenin's 10%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 64 60 | L 06 36 |
| Emma Navarro | W 36 64 63 | L 06 57 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 63 62 | W 64 46 63 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 64 26 76 | L 26 64 67 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 16 46 | L 64 36 57 |
| Iva Jovic | W 46 63 61 | L 57 57 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 62 64 | L 61 46 16 |
| Oksana Selekhmeteva | W 63 62 | L 61 46 16 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 63 76 | L 67 63 26 |
| Clara Tauson | W 63 26 64 | L 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Kamilla Rakhimova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Ashlyn Krueger
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alina Charaeva
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Venus Williams
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Eva Lys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Lucrezia Stefanini
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–66 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 77% | 27% |
| Sets won | 69% | 35% |
| Games won | 57% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 2 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.