Jessica Pegula vs Sofia KeninPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 8–5
🇺🇸Sofia Kenin
#110 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
Jessica Pegula and Sofia Kenin have met 5 times since 2018; Jessica Pegula leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Quebec City in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 2–1. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Pegula has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Pegula leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 8 sets to Kenin's 5. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Sofia Kenin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 31/57 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 35/76 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 30/60 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 42/48 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 31/48 | 43% | 6/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 2, Kenin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Kenin
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 330 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jessica Pegula.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Apr 6, 2025
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · Final
Aug 29, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 5, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Feb 3, 2021
Yarra Valley Classic - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 15, 2018
Quebec City
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pegula | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jessica Pegula | Sofia Kenin | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 76% | 16/21 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 7/21 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–5 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 3.27 |
| ROI % | +10.4% | -32.7% |
| Units P/L | +2.29u | -2.94u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 12 | 2 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Kenin's 10%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Amanda Anisimova | W 64 26 76 | L 26 64 67 |
| Emma Navarro | W 75 62 | L 06 57 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 16 46 | L 64 36 57 |
| Iva Jovic | W 46 63 61 | L 57 57 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 62 64 | L 61 46 16 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 63 76 | L 67 63 26 |
| Clara Tauson | W 63 26 64 | L 67 26 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 63 76 | L 46 06 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 60 62 | L 16 06 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 62 61 | W 36 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Eva Lys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Emma Navarro
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Amanda Anisimova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Petra Marcinko
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Daria Snigur
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Viktorija Golubic
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 1st Round
Jun 16
Viktorija Golubic
Nottingham
Jun 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 36–76 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 33% |
| Sets won | 66% | 38% |
| Games won | 56% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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