Jessica Pegula vs Sloane StephensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–0
🇺🇸Sloane Stephens
#208 · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
4Jessica Pegula and Sloane Stephens have met 3 times since 2021; Jessica Pegula leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 3–0. Pegula has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 6 sets to Stephens's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Stephens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Sloane Stephens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 31/57 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 35/76 | 28% | 7/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 30/60 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 42/48 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 31/48 | 56% | 5/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 3, Stephens 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Stephens
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 61% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,327 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jessica Pegula.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 21, 2022
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 25, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 8, 2021
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pegula | Stephens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jessica Pegula | Sloane Stephens | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 76% | 16/21 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 7/21 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–5 | 5–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 3.00 |
| ROI % | +10.4% | +8.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.29u | +0.83u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 4 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 12 | 7 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 1,730 mi · 2,784 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | ECU → CAN → POL → ESP |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Stephens's 40%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Marta Kostyuk | L 16 46 | L 57 57 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 76 62 | W 62 64 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 63 76 | L 36 16 |
| Darja Vidmanova | W 75 63 | L 26 46 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 62 62 | W 64 57 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 25
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anastasia Potapova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Sinja Kraus
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Solana Sierra
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Darja Vidmanova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Yuliia Starodubtseva
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–76 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 28% |
| Sets won | 66% | 33% |
| Games won | 56% | 42% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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