Jessica Pegula vs Sloane StephensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5w3 meetings · sets 6–0
🇺🇸Sloane Stephens
#133 · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
4w4Jessica Pegula and Sloane Stephens have met 3 times since 2021; Jessica Pegula leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 3–0. Pegula has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 6 sets to Stephens's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Stephens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Sloane Stephens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 31/51 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 24% | 5/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 27/66 | 26% | 10/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 29/53 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 69% | 9/13 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 39/44 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 31/44 | 72% | 13/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 3, Stephens 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Stephens
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 68% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,247 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jessica Pegula.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 21, 2022
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 25, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 8, 2021
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pegula | Stephens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jessica Pegula | Sloane Stephens | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 17/19 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 5 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 2.98 |
| ROI % | +4.8% | +21.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.86u | +3.43u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Stephens's 43%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Marta Kostyuk | L 16 46 | L 16 57 |
| Clara Tauson | W 63 26 64 | W 64 61 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 76 62 | W 62 64 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 63 76 | L 36 16 |
| Darja Vidmanova | W 75 63 | L 26 46 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 62 62 | W 64 57 62 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 62 61 | L 06 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Peyton Stearns
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Janice Tjen
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Carole Monnet
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Marta Kostyuk
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Clara Tauson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 25
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anastasia Potapova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–66 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 77% | 46% |
| Sets won | 69% | 47% |
| Games won | 57% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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