Jessica Pegula vs Nuria Parrizas DiazPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5w2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇪🇸Nuria Parrizas Diaz
#739 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
15wJessica Pegula and Nuria Parrizas Diaz have met 2 times since 2022; Jessica Pegula leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 2–0. Pegula has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 4 sets to Diaz's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at ATX Open - Austin (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Parrizas Diaz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Nuria Parrizas Diaz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 31/51 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 27/66 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 29/53 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 25% | 3/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 69% | 9/13 | 0% | 0/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 39/44 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 31/44 | 75% | 3/4 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 2, Parrizas Diaz 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Diaz
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 57% vs 🎾 All-Court across 789 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jessica Pegula.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 26, 2025
ATX Open - Austin
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 21, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | - |
| ROI % | +4.8% | - |
| Units P/L | +0.86u | - |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Julia Riera
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Francesca Parcelli
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · 1st Round
Jul 1
Gina Feistel
W50 Gdansk · 1st Round
Jun 24
Gina Feistel
W100 Indian Harbour Beach · 1st Round
May 6
Angela Fita Boluda
W100 Bonita Springs · 1st Round
Apr 28
Kayla Day
W100 Charlottesville · 1st Round
Apr 21
Stephanie Judith Visscher
W50 Nantes 1 · 1st Round
Mar 31
Lucie Havlickova
W75 Murska Sobota 1 · 1st Round
Mar 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 18–66 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 77% | 22% |
| Sets won | 69% | 29% |
| Games won | 57% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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