Jessica Pegula vs Nuria Parrizas DiazPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇪🇸Nuria Parrizas Diaz
#700 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
8wJessica Pegula and Nuria Parrizas Diaz have met 2 times since 2022; Jessica Pegula leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 2–0. Pegula has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 4 sets to Diaz's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at ATX Open - Austin (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Parrizas Diaz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Nuria Parrizas Diaz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 31/57 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 35/76 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 30/60 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 0% | 0/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 42/48 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 31/48 | 50% | 1/2 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 2, Parrizas Diaz 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Diaz
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 26, 2025
ATX Open - Austin
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 21, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–5 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 2.19 |
| ROI % | +10.4% | -63.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.29u | -1.89u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 12 | — |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | — |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Julia Riera
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Francesca Parcelli
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · 1st Round
Jul 1
Gina Feistel
W50 Gdansk · 1st Round
Jun 24
Gina Feistel
W100 Indian Harbour Beach · 1st Round
May 6
Angela Fita Boluda
W100 Bonita Springs · 1st Round
Apr 28
Kayla Day
W100 Charlottesville · 1st Round
Apr 21
Stephanie Judith Visscher
W50 Nantes 1 · 1st Round
Mar 31
Lucie Havlickova
W75 Murska Sobota 1 · 1st Round
Mar 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–76 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 14% |
| Sets won | 66% | 24% |
| Games won | 56% | 43% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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