Jessica Pegula vs Moyuka UchijimaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇯🇵Moyuka Uchijima
#99 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
4wJessica Pegula and Moyuka Uchijima have met 1 time since 2025; Moyuka Uchijima leads 1–0. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 0 sets to Uchijima's 2. Their most recent meeting: Moyuka Uchijima won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Uchijima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Moyuka Uchijima | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 31/57 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 35/76 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 30/60 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 42/48 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 31/48 | 76% | 16/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 0, Uchijima 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Uchijima
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Jessica Pegula and Moyuka Uchijima are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 27, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pegula | Uchijima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jessica Pegula | Moyuka Uchijima | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 3 or more | 76% | 16/21 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 7/21 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–5 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 3.05 |
| ROI % | +10.4% | -21.9% |
| Units P/L | +2.29u | -1.97u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 11 | 2 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Uchijima's 0%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 26 46 | L 16 06 |
| Sorana Cirstea | W 62 46 75 | L 62 46 26 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 64 67 60 | L 36 36 |
| Katie Boulter | W 64 64 | L 26 16 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 62 62 | L 36 61 36 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | W 16 61 76 | L 57 26 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 62 61 | L 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Cristina Bucsa
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Maddison Inglis
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · Quarterfinals
Jul 30
Hayu Kinoshita
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Miho Kuramochi
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 1st Round
Jul 29
Anna Bondar
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 20
Elina Avanesyan
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Irene Burillo
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–76 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 49% |
| Sets won | 66% | 50% |
| Games won | 56% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.