Jessica Pegula vs Moyuka UchijimaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5w1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇯🇵Moyuka Uchijima
#121 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
4Jessica Pegula and Moyuka Uchijima have met 1 time since 2025; Moyuka Uchijima leads 1–0. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 0 sets to Uchijima's 2. Their most recent meeting: Moyuka Uchijima won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Uchijima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Moyuka Uchijima | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 31/51 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 27/66 | 37% | 19/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 29/53 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 69% | 9/13 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 39/44 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 31/44 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 0, Uchijima 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Uchijima
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 27, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pegula | Uchijima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jessica Pegula | Moyuka Uchijima | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 17/19 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 2.70 |
| ROI % | +4.8% | -37.2% |
| Units P/L | +0.86u | -4.46u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | POR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Uchijima's 0%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Magdalena Frech | W 36 63 62 | L |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 57 26 | L 36 36 |
| Sofia Kenin | W 63 61 | L 16 36 |
| Rebeka Masarova | W 60 60 | L 36 26 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 62 62 | L 36 61 36 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | W 16 61 76 | L 57 26 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 62 61 | L 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Magdalena Frech
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Zhuoxuan Bai
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 6
Lanlana Tararudee
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 21
Lucie Havlickova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Polona Hercog
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Harriet Dart
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Cristina Bucsa
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–66 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 77% | 50% |
| Sets won | 69% | 51% |
| Games won | 57% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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