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Head-to-Head

Jessica Pegula vs Mccartney KesslerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Jessica Pegula and Mccartney Kessler have met 2 times since 2025; Jessica Pegula leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at ATX Open - Austin in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 2–0. Pegula has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Pegula leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 4 sets to Kessler's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months

IndicatorPegulaKessler
Wins in straight sets61%67%
Wins a set when losing47%27%
Goes to a deciding set41%30%
Covers βˆ’1.5 sets as favorite55%50%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog58%37%
Tiebreak sets won69%57%
Wins after taking set 189%80%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 170%70%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 2, Kessler 0).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Pegula

πŸ‘‘ The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer
vs

Kessler

πŸ’₯ Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

πŸ‘‘ The Complete Package vs πŸ’₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

2 career meetings, newest first

Jan 22, 2026

Australian Open - Melbourne

H Hard Β· 2nd Round

60
62
Pegula

Mar 2, 2025

ATX Open - Austin

H Hard Β· Final

75
62
Pegula

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days

OutcomePegulaKessler
1 or more95%100%
3 or more90%60%
5 or more37%40%
10 or more0%0%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days

MetricPegulaKessler
W-L14–41–4
Avg odds1.481.83
ROI %+4.8%-77.0%
Units P/L+0.86u-3.85u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months

Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Kessler's 30%).

OpponentPegulaKessler
Aryna Sabalenka
L
57
26
L
16
67
Leylah Fernandez
W
16
64
63
W
63
62
Simona Waltert
W
63
62
W
76
63
Diana Shnaider
L
36
36
L
67
16
Magdalena Frech
W
36
63
62
W
26
64
62
Anna Kalinskaya
W
63
75
L
26
76
46
Iva Jovic
W
46
63
61
L
67
67
Madison Keys
W
76
76
L
36
16
Linda Noskova
L
46
64
36
L
75
36
46
Kimberly Birrell
L
61
36
36
L
76
67
06

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Pegula
LWWWWWLW
L

Aryna Sabalenka

U.S. Open - New York Β· Semifinals

57
26

Sep 10

W

Emma Navarro

U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals

36
64
63

Sep 9

W

Sorana Cirstea

U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round

63
64

Sep 7

W

Leylah Fernandez

U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round

16
64
63

Sep 4

W

Sofia Kenin

U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round

63
61

Sep 2

W

Elena Gabriela Ruse

U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round

63
62

Aug 30

L

Coco Gauff

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Final

26
46

Aug 24

W

Iga Swiatek

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals

75
46
64

Aug 22

Kessler
LLLWLLWL
L

Ekaterina Alexandrova

U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round

26
26

Aug 30

L

Caty Mcnally

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round

36
46

Aug 14

L

Anna Kalinskaya

National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round

26
763
46

Aug 5

W

Cadence Brace

National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round

63
63

Aug 3

L

Renata Zarazua

The Memphis Classic - Memphis Β· 1st Round

46
16

Jul 29

L

Aryna Sabalenka

Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round

16
697

Jul 1

W

Oleksandra Oliynykova

Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round

60
60

Jun 29

L

Madison Keys

Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne Β· Quarterfinals

36
16

Jun 25

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ PegulaPegula ahead↓ Kessler

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 43–66 matches

MetricPegulaKessler
Matches won77%49%
Sets won69%48%
Games won57%49%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StagePegulaKessler
Finals10
Grand Slam10
WTA 25010

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfacePegulaKessler
Hard20

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Jessica Pegula vs Mccartney Kessler FAQ

Jessica Pegula leads the head-to-head 2–0 over 2 meetings.