Jessica Pegula vs Mccartney KesslerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇺🇸Mccartney Kessler
#65 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
Jessica Pegula and Mccartney Kessler have met 2 times since 2025; Jessica Pegula leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at ATX Open - Austin in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 2–0. Pegula has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Pegula leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 4 sets to Kessler's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Kessler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Mccartney Kessler | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 31/57 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 35/76 | 34% | 15/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 30/60 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 42/48 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 31/48 | 64% | 14/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 2, Kessler 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Kessler
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Jessica Pegula and Mccartney Kessler are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 22, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 2, 2025
ATX Open - Austin
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pegula | Kessler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jessica Pegula | Mccartney Kessler | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 3 or more | 76% | 16/21 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 7/21 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–5 | 4–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 2.40 |
| ROI % | +10.4% | -45.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.29u | -4.98u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 12 | 3 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Kessler's 20%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Simona Waltert | W 63 62 | W 76 63 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 36 | L 67 16 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 36 63 62 | W 26 64 62 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 63 75 | L 26 76 46 |
| Iva Jovic | W 46 63 61 | L 67 67 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 64 67 60 | L 16 67 |
| Madison Keys | W 76 76 | L 36 16 |
| Linda Noskova | L 46 64 36 | L 75 36 46 |
| Kimberly Birrell | L 61 36 36 | L 76 67 06 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 64 61 | L 16 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Caty Mcnally
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Anna Kalinskaya
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Cadence Brace
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Madison Keys
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Anhelina Kalinina
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–76 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 48% |
| Sets won | 66% | 49% |
| Games won | 56% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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