Jessica Pegula vs Mayar SherifPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5w1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇪🇬Mayar Sherif
#52 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
6wJessica Pegula and Mayar Sherif have met 1 time since 2025; Jessica Pegula leads 1–0. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 2 sets to Sherif's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Sherif | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Mayar Sherif | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 31/51 | 67% | 28/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 27/66 | 40% | 25/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 29/53 | 49% | 23/47 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 69% | 9/13 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 39/44 | 81% | 34/42 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 31/44 | 67% | 28/42 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 1, Sherif 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Sherif
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,583 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jessica Pegula.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 24, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pegula | Sherif | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jessica Pegula | Mayar Sherif | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 17/19 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 5 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Sherif |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 2.29 |
| ROI % | +4.8% | +31.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.86u | +2.22u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Pegula and Sherif posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Pegula | Sherif |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 26 46 | L 36 26 |
| Simona Waltert | W 63 62 | W 57 64 76 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 46 64 75 | W 62 36 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Nikola Bartunkova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 24
Tamara Korpatsch
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Semifinals
Jul 25
Paula Badosa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Elsa Jacquemot
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Simona Waltert
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 22
Paula Badosa
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Final
Jul 20
Oleksandra Oliynykova
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Semifinals
Jul 18
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–66 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Sherif |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 77% | 67% |
| Sets won | 69% | 63% |
| Games won | 57% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Sherif |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Sherif |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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