Jessica Pegula vs Maya JointPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5w1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇦🇺Maya Joint
#92 · 20 yrs · Right-Handed
3Jessica Pegula and Maya Joint have met 1 time since 2025; Jessica Pegula leads 1–0. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 2 sets to Joint's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Joint | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Maya Joint | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 31/51 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 27/66 | 50% | 24/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 29/53 | 28% | 7/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 69% | 9/13 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 39/44 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 31/44 | 43% | 9/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 1, Joint 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Joint
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 68% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,247 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jessica Pegula.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 13, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pegula | Joint | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jessica Pegula | Maya Joint | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 84% | 16/19 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 17/19 | 32% | 6/19 |
| 5 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Joint |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | 11–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | +4.8% | +0.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.86u | +0.03u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Joint |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 7 |
| Distance | — | 1,246 mi · 2,005 km |
| Route | — | POR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Joint's 50%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Joint |
|---|---|---|
| Kimberly Birrell | L 61 36 36 | L 46 26 |
| Sorana Cirstea | W 63 64 | W 64 64 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 64 | L 26 76 46 |
| Sofia Kenin | W 63 61 | W 76 64 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 63 76 | W 36 62 62 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 46 64 75 | W 06 63 61 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 75 46 64 | L 16 16 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 36 | L 46 16 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 62 62 | W 46 61 63 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 64 46 06 | L 63 26 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Sinja Kraus
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Kimberly Birrell
Korea Open - Seoul · Final
Sep 27
Alina Korneeva
Korea Open - Seoul · Semifinals
Sep 26
Lanlana Tararudee
Korea Open - Seoul · Quarterfinals
Sep 26
Dayeon Back
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Xinxin Yao
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 21
Elina Svitolina
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–66 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Joint |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 77% | 44% |
| Sets won | 69% | 45% |
| Games won | 57% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Joint |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Joint |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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