Jessica Pegula vs Maya JointPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇦🇺Maya Joint
#75 · 20 yrs · Right-Handed
3Jessica Pegula and Maya Joint have met 1 time since 2025; Jessica Pegula leads 1–0. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 2 sets to Joint's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Joint | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Maya Joint | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 31/57 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | 35% | 9/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 35/76 | 37% | 17/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 30/60 | 42% | 10/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 42/48 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 31/48 | 52% | 12/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 1, Joint 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Joint
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 61% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,327 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jessica Pegula.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 13, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pegula | Joint | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jessica Pegula | Maya Joint | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 3 or more | 76% | 16/21 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 7/21 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Joint |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–5 | 6–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 2.15 |
| ROI % | +10.4% | -20.9% |
| Units P/L | +2.29u | -3.14u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Joint |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 11 | 5 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | CAN → POL → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Joint's 20%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Joint |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | W 75 46 64 | L 16 16 |
| Sorana Cirstea | W 62 46 75 | W 64 64 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 36 | L 46 16 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 63 76 | L 57 76 26 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 62 62 | W 46 61 63 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 64 46 06 | L 63 26 06 |
| Linda Noskova | L 46 64 36 | L 46 06 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 62 64 | L 36 16 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 76 62 | L 16 26 |
| Ann Li | W 61 62 | L 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 26
Tamara Korpatsch
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Liudmila Samsonova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Sorana Cirstea
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Yuliia Starodubtseva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Kristina Liutova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Whitney Osuigwe
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 27
Tereza Valentova
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–76 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Joint |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 43% |
| Sets won | 66% | 45% |
| Games won | 56% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Joint |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Joint |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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