Jessica Pegula vs Martina TrevisanPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–2
🇮🇹Martina Trevisan
#321 · 32 yrs · Left-Handed
4wJessica Pegula and Martina Trevisan have met 3 times since 2023; Jessica Pegula leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at United Cup - Australia in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 2–0. Pegula has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Pegula leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 6 sets to Trevisan's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Trevisan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Martina Trevisan | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 31/57 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 35/76 | 30% | 11/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 30/60 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 42/48 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 31/48 | 62% | 13/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 1, Trevisan 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Trevisan
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jessica Pegula.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 16, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 1, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 4th Round
Jan 8, 2023
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pegula | Trevisan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jessica Pegula | Martina Trevisan | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 38% | 6/16 |
| 3 or more | 76% | 16/21 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 7/21 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Trevisan |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–5 | 10–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | +10.4% | -18.2% |
| Units P/L | +2.29u | -3.27u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Trevisan |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 12 | 1 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | — |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | ITA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Elena Ruxandra Bertea
W75 Koksijde · 1st Round
Aug 4
Nuria Brancaccio
W75 Cordenons · Semifinals
Jul 24
Francesca Curmi
W75 Cordenons · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Francesca Pace
W75 Cordenons · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Elena Ruxandra Bertea
W75 Cordenons · 1st Round
Jul 21
Francesca Jones
ATV Bancomat Tennis Open - Rome · Semifinals
Jul 18
Elizara Yaneva
ATV Bancomat Tennis Open - Rome · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Aurora Zantedeschi
ATV Bancomat Tennis Open - Rome · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–76 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Trevisan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 46% |
| Sets won | 66% | 48% |
| Games won | 56% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Trevisan |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Trevisan |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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