Jessica Pegula vs Martina TrevisanPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5w3 meetings · sets 6–2
🇮🇹Martina Trevisan
#301 · 32 yrs · Left-Handed
4wJessica Pegula and Martina Trevisan have met 3 times since 2023; Jessica Pegula leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at United Cup - Australia in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 2–0. Pegula has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Pegula leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 6 sets to Trevisan's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Trevisan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Martina Trevisan | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 31/51 | 70% | 19/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 41% | 9/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 27/66 | 35% | 17/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 29/53 | 59% | 16/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 69% | 9/13 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 39/44 | 79% | 23/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 31/44 | 66% | 19/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 1, Trevisan 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Trevisan
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,583 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jessica Pegula.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 16, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 1, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 4th Round
Jan 8, 2023
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pegula | Trevisan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jessica Pegula | Martina Trevisan | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 46% | 6/13 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 17/19 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 5 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Trevisan |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | 8–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | +4.8% | +4.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.86u | +0.54u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Trevisan |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | DEN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Trevisan's 0%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Trevisan |
|---|---|---|
| Francesca Jones | W | L 62 16 16 |
| Darja Vidmanova | W 75 63 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Leyre Romero Gormaz
BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia · 1st Round
Sep 15
Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales
Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Jennifer Ruggeri
Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux · 1st Round
Sep 8
Elsa Bonelli
Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Julia Stusek
Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Elena Ruxandra Bertea
W75 Koksijde · 1st Round
Aug 4
Francesca Curmi
W75 Cordenons · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Nuria Brancaccio
W75 Cordenons · Semifinals
Jul 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–66 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Trevisan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 77% | 55% |
| Sets won | 69% | 55% |
| Games won | 57% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Trevisan |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Trevisan |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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