Jessica Pegula vs Marie BouzkovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5w4 meetings · sets 5–5
🇨🇿Marie Bouzkova
#28 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
Jessica Pegula and Marie Bouzkova have met 4 times since 2020; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Bouzkova leads 2–1. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 5 sets to Bouzkova's 5. Their most recent meeting: Marie Bouzkova won at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Bouzkova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Marie Bouzkova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 31/51 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 27% | 6/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 27/66 | 21% | 11/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 29/53 | 64% | 21/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 69% | 9/13 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 39/44 | 90% | 27/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 31/44 | 83% | 25/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 1, Bouzkova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Bouzkova
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 978 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 17, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
Apr 30, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Mar 12, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 31, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pegula | Bouzkova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jessica Pegula | Marie Bouzkova | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 17/19 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 5 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | 7–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | +4.8% | -15.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.86u | -1.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 654 mi · 1,053 km |
| Route | — | ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Bouzkova's 70%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Clara Tauson | W 63 26 64 | W |
| Kimberly Birrell | L 61 36 36 | W 64 64 |
| Emma Navarro | W 36 64 63 | W 76 46 62 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 75 46 64 | L 67 67 |
| Coco Gauff | L 26 46 | L 36 26 |
| Iva Jovic | W 46 63 61 | W 76 76 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 36 63 62 | L 36 64 36 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 61 63 | W 75 75 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 63 76 | W 46 76 64 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 62 64 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Clara Tauson
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Kimberly Birrell
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Iga Swiatek
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Harriet Dart
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Elsa Jacquemot
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Iva Jovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–66 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 77% | 58% |
| Sets won | 69% | 57% |
| Games won | 57% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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