Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena FrechPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5w5 meetings · sets 10–2
🇵🇱Magdalena Frech
#56 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Jessica Pegula and Magdalena Frech have met 5 times since 2021; Jessica Pegula leads 5–0. Their first meeting came at Chicago Fall Tennis Classic - Chicago in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 3–0. On clay courts Pegula leads 2–0. Pegula has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 10 sets to Frech's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at National Bank Open - Toronto (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Frech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Magdalena Frech | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 31/51 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 27/66 | 34% | 15/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 29/53 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 65% | 17/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 69% | 9/13 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 39/44 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 31/44 | 57% | 13/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 3, Frech 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Frech
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Aug 5, 2026
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 30, 2026
Mubadala DC Open - Washington
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 17, 2025
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 28, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Sep 27, 2021
Chicago Fall Tennis Classic - Chicago
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pegula | Frech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jessica Pegula | Magdalena Frech | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 17/19 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 5 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 3.10 |
| ROI % | +4.8% | -15.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.86u | -2.10u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 8,184 mi · 13,171 km |
| Route | — | UKR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Frech's 30%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Iva Jovic | W 46 63 61 | L 26 16 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 16 64 63 | L 46 63 46 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 63 62 | W |
| Elena Rybakina | L 62 36 46 | L 46 67 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | W 46 63 62 | W 61 63 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 64 46 06 | L 06 63 46 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 63 75 | L 67 46 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 61 63 | W 60 63 |
| Linda Noskova | L 46 64 36 | L 76 46 46 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 60 62 | L 62 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Aoi Ito
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Moyuka Uchijima
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elsa Jacquemot
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Iva Jovic
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Caroline Dolehide
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Nao Hibino
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Iva Jovic
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–66 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 77% | 43% |
| Sets won | 69% | 46% |
| Games won | 57% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 3 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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