Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena FrechPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈJessica Pegula
#3 Β· 32 yrs Β· Right-Handed
5 meetings Β· sets 10β2

π΅π±Magdalena Frech
#37 Β· 28 yrs Β· Right-Handed
Jessica Pegula and Magdalena Frech have met 5 times since 2021; Jessica Pegula leads 5β0. Their first meeting came at Chicago Fall Tennis Classic - Chicago in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 3β0. On clay courts Pegula leads 2β0. Pegula has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 10 sets to Frech's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at National Bank Open - Toronto (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Frech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Magdalena Frech | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 31/57 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 35/76 | 36% | 14/39 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 30/60 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 65% | 17/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 42/48 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 31/48 | 50% | 10/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 3, Frech 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
π₯ Big Hitter
Frech
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Jessica Pegula and Magdalena Frech are π₯ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Aug 5, 2026
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Jul 30, 2026
Mubadala DC Open - Washington
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Apr 17, 2025
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay Β· 2nd Round
Apr 28, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay Β· 2nd Round
Sep 27, 2021
Chicago Fall Tennis Classic - Chicago
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pegula | Frech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jessica Pegula | Magdalena Frech | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 76% | 16/21 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 7/21 | 40% | 4/10 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17β5 | 5β7 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 3.40 |
| ROI % | +10.4% | -17.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.29u | -2.13u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 12 | 5 |
| Distance | 761 mi Β· 1,225 km | 411 mi Β· 662 km |
| Route | AUT β CAN β POL | CAN β POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Frech's 30%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 26 46 | L 36 16 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 62 36 46 | L 46 67 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | W 46 63 62 | W 61 63 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 64 46 06 | L 06 63 46 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 63 75 | L 67 46 |
| Ann Li | W 61 62 | W 64 63 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 61 63 | W 60 63 |
| Linda Noskova | L 46 64 36 | L 76 46 46 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 62 62 | L 46 63 46 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 60 62 | L 62 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 6
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 17
Jelena Ostapenko
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15
Antonia Ruzic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Jessica Pegula
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Leolia Jeanjean
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 3
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington Β· 2nd Round
Jul 30
Ann Li
Mubadala DC Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 29
Anna Kalinskaya
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 39β76 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 41% |
| Sets won | 66% | 43% |
| Games won | 56% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 3 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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