Jessica Pegula vs Magda LinettePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5w4 meetings · sets 7–2
🇵🇱Magda Linette
#77 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
6Jessica Pegula and Magda Linette have met 4 times since 2023; Jessica Pegula leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 2–1. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 7 sets to Linette's 2. Their most recent meeting: Magda Linette won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Linette | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Magda Linette | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 31/51 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 17% | 4/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 27/66 | 41% | 18/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 29/53 | 25% | 4/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 69% | 9/13 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 39/44 | 88% | 14/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 31/44 | 44% | 7/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 3, Linette 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Linette
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jessica Pegula.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 13, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
Mar 7, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 4, 2024
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 3rd Round
Mar 27, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pegula | Linette | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jessica Pegula | Magda Linette | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 17/19 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | 1–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 2.23 |
| ROI % | +4.8% | -86.6% |
| Units P/L | +0.86u | -6.93u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 1,246 mi · 2,005 km |
| Route | — | POR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Linette's 30%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Katerina Siniakova | W 62 64 | L 46 36 |
| Emma Navarro | W 36 64 63 | W 36 63 63 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 16 64 63 | L 16 46 |
| Francesca Jones | W | L 46 61 36 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 63 62 | L 06 36 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 75 46 64 | L 46 46 |
| Iva Jovic | W 46 63 61 | L 36 57 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 64 46 06 | L 36 67 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 64 60 | W 64 62 |
| Kimberly Birrell | L 61 36 36 | W 26 61 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Sinja Kraus
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Katerina Siniakova
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Darya Astakhova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 21
Francesca Jones
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Iva Jovic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Carol Zhao
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Leylah Fernandez
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–66 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 77% | 48% |
| Sets won | 69% | 43% |
| Games won | 57% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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