Jessica Pegula vs Magda LinettePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈJessica Pegula
#3 Β· 32 yrs Β· Right-Handed
4 meetings Β· sets 7β2

π΅π±Magda Linette
#78 Β· 34 yrs Β· Right-Handed
Jessica Pegula and Magda Linette have met 4 times since 2023; Jessica Pegula leads 3β1. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 2β1. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 7 sets to Linette's 2. Their most recent meeting: Magda Linette won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Linette | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Magda Linette | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 31/57 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | 10% | 2/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 35/76 | 38% | 16/42 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 30/60 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 42/48 | 93% | 14/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 31/48 | 47% | 7/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 3, Linette 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
π₯ Big Hitter
Linette
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π€ Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 13, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Mar 7, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Apr 4, 2024
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay Β· 3rd Round
Mar 27, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard Β· 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pegula | Linette | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jessica Pegula | Magda Linette | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 76% | 16/21 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 7/21 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17β5 | 4β6 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 2.47 |
| ROI % | +10.4% | -34.2% |
| Units P/L | +2.29u | -3.42u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 12 | 3 |
| Distance | 761 mi Β· 1,225 km | 411 mi Β· 662 km |
| Route | AUT β CAN β POL | CAN β POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Linette's 40%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | W 75 46 64 | L 46 46 |
| Emma Navarro | W 75 62 | W 36 63 63 |
| Iva Jovic | W 46 63 61 | L 36 57 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 64 46 06 | L 36 67 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 62 62 | L 16 46 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 63 63 | L 36 67 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 64 60 | W 64 62 |
| Kimberly Birrell | L 61 36 36 | W 26 61 62 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | W 46 63 62 | W 62 26 62 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 16 46 | L 46 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 6
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Iva Jovic
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Carol Zhao
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 3
Leylah Fernandez
Mubadala DC Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 27
Mai Hontama
Athens Open - Athens Β· 1st Round
Jul 13
Mirra Andreeva
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 29
Maja Chwalinska
Boodles Tennis Challenge Β· -
Jun 26
Barbora Krejcikova
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch Β· Semifinals
Jun 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 42β76 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 50% |
| Sets won | 66% | 44% |
| Games won | 56% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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