Jessica Pegula vs Liudmila SamsonovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
6 meetings · sets 10–5
🇷🇺Liudmila Samsonova
#45 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
Jessica Pegula and Liudmila Samsonova have met 6 times since 2021; Jessica Pegula leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2021 on grass. On hard courts Pegula leads 3–0. On grass courts Samsonova leads 2–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Pegula leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 10 sets to Samsonova's 5. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Brisbane International - Brisbane (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Samsonova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Liudmila Samsonova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 31/57 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 35/76 | 41% | 17/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 30/60 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 42/48 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 31/48 | 54% | 13/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 3, Samsonova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Samsonova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jan 9, 2026
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 18, 2025
Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin
G Grass · 2nd Round
Feb 18, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 14, 2023
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · Final
May 10, 2022
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 30, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pegula | Samsonova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jessica Pegula | Liudmila Samsonova | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 76% | 16/21 | 75% | 12/16 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 7/21 | 63% | 10/16 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–5 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | +10.4% | +11.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.29u | +1.81u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 12 | 7 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 761 mi · 1,225 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | AUT → CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Samsonova's 40%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 26 46 | L 62 46 16 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 46 64 75 | W 76 57 75 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 62 36 46 | L 46 64 46 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 36 | L 36 46 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 63 63 | W 61 75 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 36 63 62 | L 36 64 67 |
| Madison Keys | W 76 76 | W 36 64 64 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 64 | L 63 36 26 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 62 64 | W 63 75 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 64 67 60 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Yulia Putintseva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Barbora Krejcikova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Janice Tjen
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Diana Shnaider
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Xinyu Wang
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–76 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 44% |
| Sets won | 66% | 48% |
| Games won | 56% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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