Jessica Pegula vs Liudmila SamsonovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5w6 meetings · sets 10–5
🇷🇺Liudmila Samsonova
#43 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
Jessica Pegula and Liudmila Samsonova have met 6 times since 2021; Jessica Pegula leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2021 on grass. On hard courts Pegula leads 3–0. On grass courts Samsonova leads 2–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Pegula leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 10 sets to Samsonova's 5. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Brisbane International - Brisbane (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Samsonova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Liudmila Samsonova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 31/51 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 27/66 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 29/53 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 69% | 9/13 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 39/44 | 64% | 18/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 31/44 | 46% | 13/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 3, Samsonova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Samsonova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jessica Pegula.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jan 9, 2026
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 18, 2025
Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin
G Grass · 2nd Round
Feb 18, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 14, 2023
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · Final
May 10, 2022
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 30, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pegula | Samsonova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jessica Pegula | Liudmila Samsonova | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 17/19 | 53% | 8/15 |
| 5 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | +4.8% | +20.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.86u | +3.35u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 7,530 mi · 12,118 km |
| Route | — | UKR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Samsonova's 40%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Marta Kostyuk | L 16 46 | W 46 62 75 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 16 64 63 | L 75 57 36 |
| Sofia Kenin | W 63 61 | W 64 60 |
| Coco Gauff | L 26 46 | L 62 46 16 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 46 64 75 | W 76 57 75 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 62 36 46 | L 46 64 46 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 36 | L 36 46 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 36 63 62 | L 36 64 67 |
| Madison Keys | W 76 76 | W 36 64 64 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 64 | L 63 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Linda Fruhvirtova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Peyton Stearns
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Semifinals
Sep 19
Marta Kostyuk
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Kayla Day
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Elsa Jacquemot
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 15
Maya Joint
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–66 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 77% | 45% |
| Sets won | 69% | 50% |
| Games won | 57% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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