Jessica Pegula vs Kristina MladenovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–0
🇫🇷Kristina Mladenovic
#852 · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
11wJessica Pegula and Kristina Mladenovic have met 3 times since 2021; Jessica Pegula leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Yarra Valley Classic - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 3–0. Pegula has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 6 sets to Mladenovic's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Mladenovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Kristina Mladenovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 31/57 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | 0% | 0/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 35/76 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 30/60 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 42/48 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 31/48 | 0% | 0/1 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 3, Mladenovic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Mladenovic
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 3,165 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jessica Pegula.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 9, 2021
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 13, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 31, 2021
Yarra Valley Classic - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Mladenovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–5 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 3.05 |
| ROI % | +10.4% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.29u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Mladenovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 12 | — |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | — |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Valentina Ryser
Ladies Open - Figueira da Foz · 1st Round
Jun 16
Tessa Johanna Brockmann
Oeiras Jamor Ladies Open - Oeiras · 1st Round
Apr 14
Carmen Andreea Herea
Billie Jean King Cup, Group I, Europe/Africa · Rubber 1
Apr 9
Yidi Yang
Open Arena - Les Sables d'Olonne · 1st Round
Feb 17
Alevtina Ibragimova
W100 Dubai 1 · 1st Round
Dec 2
Maria Lourdes Carle
MundoTenis Open - Florianopolis · 2nd Round
Dec 4
Emiliana Arango
MundoTenis Open - Florianopolis · 1st Round
Dec 2
Mayar Sherif
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires · 2nd Round
Nov 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 5–76 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Mladenovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 20% |
| Sets won | 66% | 18% |
| Games won | 56% | 37% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Mladenovic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Mladenovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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