Jessica Pegula vs Kristina MladenovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5w3 meetings · sets 6–0
🇫🇷Kristina Mladenovic
#803 · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
9Jessica Pegula and Kristina Mladenovic have met 3 times since 2021; Jessica Pegula leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Yarra Valley Classic - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 3–0. Pegula has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 6 sets to Mladenovic's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Mladenovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Kristina Mladenovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 31/51 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 27/66 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 29/53 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 69% | 9/13 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 39/44 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 31/44 | 33% | 1/3 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 3, Mladenovic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Mladenovic
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 57% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 3,228 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jessica Pegula.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 9, 2021
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 13, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 31, 2021
Yarra Valley Classic - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Mladenovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | 0–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 5.75 |
| ROI % | +4.8% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.86u | -3.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Mladenovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 2,133 mi · 3,432 km |
| Route | — | SGP → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Sofia Costoulas
Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan · 1st Round
Sep 29
Nao Hibino
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Elvina Kalieva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Tiphanie Lemaitre
W50 Palma Del Rio · 1st Round
Jun 24
Valentina Ryser
Ladies Open - Figueira da Foz · 1st Round
Jun 16
Xiyu Wang
French Open - Paris · 1st Round Qualifying
May 19
Tessa Johanna Brockmann
Oeiras Jamor Ladies Open - Oeiras · 1st Round
Apr 14
Carmen Andreea Herea
Billie Jean King Cup, Group I, Europe/Africa · Rubber 1
Apr 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 13–66 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Mladenovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 77% | 15% |
| Sets won | 69% | 26% |
| Games won | 57% | 40% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Mladenovic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Mladenovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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