Jessica Pegula vs Kimberly BirrellPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 3–2
🇦🇺Kimberly Birrell
#69 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
4Jessica Pegula and Kimberly Birrell have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati in 2025 on hard. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 3 sets to Birrell's 2. Their most recent meeting: Kimberly Birrell won at French Open - Paris (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Birrell | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Kimberly Birrell | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 31/57 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | 42% | 10/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 35/76 | 42% | 21/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 30/60 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 42/48 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 31/48 | 63% | 15/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 1, Birrell 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Birrell
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Jessica Pegula and Kimberly Birrell are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 26, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 10, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pegula | Birrell | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jessica Pegula | Kimberly Birrell | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 3 or more | 76% | 16/21 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 7/21 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Birrell |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–5 | 5–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 1.85 |
| ROI % | +10.4% | -36.5% |
| Units P/L | +2.29u | -5.11u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Birrell |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 11 | 3 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | CAN → POL → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Birrell's 30%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Birrell |
|---|---|---|
| Darja Vidmanova | W 75 63 | L 67 36 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 64 26 76 | L 16 36 |
| Sorana Cirstea | W 62 46 75 | L 36 46 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 64 60 | L 26 26 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 63 63 | W 63 76 |
| Ann Li | W 61 62 | L 64 67 46 |
| Katie Boulter | W 64 64 | L 57 67 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 76 62 | W 64 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 62 36 46 | L 16 26 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 64 61 | W 57 61 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Darja Vidmanova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 26
Kamilla Rakhimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 2
Yexin Ma
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Sorana Cirstea
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Alina Korneeva
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Petra Marcinko
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Barbora Krejcikova
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–76 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Birrell |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 52% |
| Sets won | 66% | 51% |
| Games won | 56% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Birrell |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Birrell |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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