Jelena Ostapenko vs Sorana CirsteaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
7 meetings · sets 9–8
🇷🇴Sorana Cirstea
#16 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
5wJelena Ostapenko and Sorana Cirstea have met 7 times since 2017; Jelena Ostapenko leads 4–3. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Ostapenko leads 3–1. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Cirstea has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 9 sets to Cirstea's 8. Their most recent meeting: Sorana Cirstea won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 78% | 32/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 17/42 | 30% | 17/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 75% | 30/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 93% | 37/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 80% | 32/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 2, Cirstea 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Cirstea
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
May 12, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 6, 2026
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 9, 2024
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 6, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
May 12, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 6, 2017
Beijing
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 30, 2017
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 1.98 |
| ROI % | -34.0% | -20.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.04u | -1.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 592 mi · 952 km | — |
| Route | POR → ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cirstea has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Ostapenko's 20%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Elise Mertens | L 26 63 36 | W 63 62 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 64 36 26 | L 36 46 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 57 62 75 | W 63 63 |
| Tatjana Maria | L 64 16 26 | W 62 60 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 61 62 | W |
| Shuai Zhang | L | W 63 64 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 46 | W 26 63 75 |
| Sara Bejlek | L 46 36 | W 61 76 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 75 26 46 | L 06 36 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 64 46 46 | W 75 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Jasmine Paolini
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Diane Parry
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Julia Grabher
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Anna Kalinskaya
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Nikola Bartunkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–57 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 72% |
| Sets won | 57% | 69% |
| Games won | 53% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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