Jelena Ostapenko vs Shelby RogersPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 6–6
🇺🇸Shelby Rogers
Unranked · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
105wJelena Ostapenko and Shelby Rogers have met 5 times since 2017; Jelena Ostapenko leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Rome in 2017 on clay. On hard courts Rogers leads 2–1. On clay courts Ostapenko leads 2–0. Rogers has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 6 sets to Rogers's 6. Their most recent meeting: Shelby Rogers won at Miami Open - Miami (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Rogers | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Shelby Rogers | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 15/22 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 16/39 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 12/22 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 15/23 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 1, Rogers 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Rogers
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jelena Ostapenko.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Mar 25, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 12, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 13, 2021
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 3, 2019
Charleston
C Clay · Round of 32
May 17, 2017
Rome
C Clay · Round of 64
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | - |
| ROI % | -7.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.54u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 27
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 6
Robin Montgomery
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Qinwen Zheng
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 9
Lisa Pigato
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 7
Marketa Vondrousova
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 2nd Round
Apr 26
Shuai Zhang
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 24
Veronika Kudermetova
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston · 2nd Round
Apr 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–39 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | - |
| Sets won | 56% | - |
| Games won | 52% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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