Jelena Ostapenko vs Qinwen ZhengPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 4–7
🇨🇳Qinwen Zheng
#121 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
5wJelena Ostapenko and Qinwen Zheng have met 4 times since 2022; Qinwen Zheng leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Zheng leads 3–0. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 4 sets to Zheng's 7. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Zheng | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Qinwen Zheng | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 15/22 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 16/39 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 12/22 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 15/23 | 42% | 5/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 0, Zheng 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Zheng
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jelena Ostapenko.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 9, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Oct 27, 2023
WTA Elite Trophy - Zhuhai
H Hard · Round Robin
Feb 8, 2023
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 30, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Zheng | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Qinwen Zheng | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 60% | 6/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | 1.60 |
| ROI % | -7.7% | -45.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.54u | -4.51u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Zheng's 0%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 75 | L 64 46 16 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 46 | L 36 46 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 62 60 | L 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Elena Micic
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Athens Open - Athens · 1st Round
Jul 13
Katerina Siniakova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Clara Tauson
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Solana Sierra
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 22
Talia Gibson
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 24–39 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 50% |
| Sets won | 56% | 48% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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