Jelena Ostapenko vs Qinwen ZhengPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 4–7
🇨🇳Qinwen Zheng
#23 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
7Title4Jelena Ostapenko and Qinwen Zheng have met 4 times since 2022; Qinwen Zheng leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Zheng leads 3–0. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 4 sets to Zheng's 7. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Zheng | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Qinwen Zheng | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 42% | 10/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 17/42 | 53% | 20/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 26% | 7/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 74% | 17/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 43% | 10/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 0, Zheng 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Zheng
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 9, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Oct 27, 2023
WTA Elite Trophy - Zhuhai
H Hard · Round Robin
Feb 8, 2023
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 30, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Zheng | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Qinwen Zheng | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 89% | 16/18 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 72% | 13/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 28% | 5/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 15–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 1.82 |
| ROI % | -34.0% | +37.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.04u | +7.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 7 |
| Distance | 592 mi · 952 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POR → ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Ostapenko and Zheng posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Mirra Andreeva | L 75 26 46 | W 75 64 |
| Elise Mertens | L 26 63 36 | W 75 62 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 61 62 | W |
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 75 | L 64 46 16 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 46 | L 36 46 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 62 60 | L 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 11
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Marie Bouzkova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Anna Kalinskaya
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Han Shi
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–42 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 63% |
| Sets won | 57% | 56% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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