Jelena Ostapenko vs Karolina PliskovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
11 meetings · sets 16–13
🇨🇿Karolina Pliskova
#49 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
6wJelena Ostapenko and Karolina Pliskova have met 11 times since 2016; Jelena Ostapenko leads 6–5. Their first meeting came at Cincinnati in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Ostapenko leads 5–2. On clay courts Pliskova leads 3–1. Ostapenko has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 16 sets to Pliskova's 13. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Brisbane International - Brisbane (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Pliskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Karolina Pliskova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 25% | 3/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 17/42 | 34% | 11/32 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 93% | 13/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 86% | 12/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 11 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 3, Pliskova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Pliskova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
11 career meetings, newest first
Jan 4, 2024
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 15, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 3, 2023
Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
May 14, 2021
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 22, 2021
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 1, 2020
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 2, 2019
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 64
Apr 27, 2018
Stuttgart
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Oct 25, 2017
Singapore
H Hard · Round Robin
Jan 18, 2017
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 17, 2016
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Pliskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Karolina Pliskova | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 2.73 |
| ROI % | -34.0% | -35.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.04u | -1.78u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 592 mi · 952 km | — |
| Route | POR → ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pliskova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Ostapenko's 25%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Elise Mertens | L 26 63 36 | W 75 26 76 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 64 61 | L 64 26 26 |
| Sara Bejlek | L 46 36 | L 06 26 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 75 26 46 | L 06 26 |
| Tereza Valentova | L | W 63 64 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 36 26 | W |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 64 46 46 | L 16 76 36 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 64 62 | W 61 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Diana Shnaider
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Hanne Vandewinkel
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Oleksandra Oliynykova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Iga Swiatek
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Tereza Valentova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Marie Bouzkova
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · Semifinals
Jun 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 32–42 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 63% |
| Sets won | 57% | 57% |
| Games won | 53% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| WTA Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 2 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 5 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
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