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Head-to-Head

Jaqueline Cristian vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Jaqueline Cristian

🇷🇴Jaqueline Cristian

#43 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed

9w
1–2

3 meetings · sets 2–5

Madison Keys

🇺🇸Madison Keys

#23 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed

Jaqueline Cristian and Madison Keys have met 3 times since 2022; Madison Keys leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Keys leads 2–0. Across all meetings Cristian has taken 2 sets to Keys's 5. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at ASB Classic - Auckland (2025).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorCristianKeys
Wins in straight sets50%75%
Wins a set when losing36%53%
Goes to a deciding set43%34%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite42%59%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog54%38%
Tiebreak sets won60%45%
Wins after taking set 175%83%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 156%80%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cristian 0, Keys 2).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Cristian

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Keys

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

Jan 2, 2025

ASB Classic - Auckland

H Hard · 2nd Round

16
26
Keys

Apr 2, 2024

Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston

C Clay · 2nd Round

36
63
63
Cristian

Jan 19, 2022

Australian Open - Melbourne

H Hard · 2nd Round

26
57
Keys

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricCristianKeys
W-L1–213–6
Avg odds3.611.44
ROI %+8.3%-10.3%
Units P/L+0.25u-1.95u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricCristianKeys
Countries—2
Events—2
Matches—6
Distance—411 mi · 662 km
Route—CAN → POL

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Cristian's 50%).

OpponentCristianKeys
Daria Snigur
L
16
06
W
46
63
63
Amanda Anisimova
L
46
64
26
W
36
62
63
Mccartney Kessler
W
61
61
W
63
61
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
W
06
64
62
W
60
61
Jessica Pegula
L
46
16
L
67
67
Karolina Muchova
L
26
36
W
64
75
Qinwen Zheng
W
64
76
L
64
26
46
Victoria Mboko
L
67
63
26
W
63
57
75
Yuliia Starodubtseva
W
36
76
64
W
16
62
63
Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
W
26
76
75
W
64
61

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Cristian
LLWLLWWW
L

Iva Jovic

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

617
06

Jun 29

L

Katie Boulter

The HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round

16
36

Jun 12

W

Qinwen Zheng

The HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round

64
764

Jun 8

L

Kamilla Rakhimova

French Open - Paris · 1st Round

36
64
46

May 25

L

Victoria Mboko

Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · Semifinals

637
63
26

May 22

W

Daria Kasatkina

Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · Quarterfinals

763
36
62

May 21

W

Clara Tauson

Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · 2nd Round

61
75

May 20

W

Mccartney Kessler

Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · 1st Round

61
61

May 18

Keys
LWWWLWLL
L

Sara Bejlek

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

63
46
657

Aug 21

W

Xiyu Wang

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

763
64

Aug 20

W

Katerina Siniakova

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

61
63

Aug 18

W

Daria Snigur

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

46
63
63

Aug 16

L

Marta Kostyuk

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

36
16

Aug 7

W

Antonia Ruzic

National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round

61
62

Aug 4

L

Liudmila Samsonova

Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round

63
46
46

Jul 28

L

Linda Noskova

Wimbledon - London · 4th Round

46
627

Jul 6

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ CristianKeys ahead↓ Keys

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–47 matches

MetricCristianKeys
Matches won45%68%
Sets won45%65%
Games won47%56%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageCristianKeys
Grand Slam01
WTA 50010
WTA 25001

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceCristianKeys
Hard02
Clay10

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Jaqueline Cristian vs Madison Keys FAQ

Madison Keys leads the head-to-head 2–1 over 3 meetings.