Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro MochizukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฎ๐นJannik Sinner
#1 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
7w1 meeting ยท sets 3โ0

๐ฏ๐ตShintaro Mochizuki
#117 ยท 23 yrs ยท R
3Jannik Sinner and Shintaro Mochizuki have met 1 time since 2026; Jannik Sinner leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Sinner has taken 3 sets to Mochizuki's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sinner | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jannik Sinner | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 88% | 46/52 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 100% | 1/1 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 13% | 7/53 | 43% | 21/49 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 87% | 46/53 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | โ | 57% | 13/23 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 80% | 12/15 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 50/50 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 92% | 46/50 | 52% | 11/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sinner
๐ The Complete Package
Mochizuki
๐งฑ The Wall
Matchup analysis
๐ The Complete Package vs ๐งฑ The Wall is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 93 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 5, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sinner | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jannik Sinner | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 10 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Sinner | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ0 | 12โ8 |
| Avg odds | 1.08 | 2.70 |
| ROI % | +7.9% | +17.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.55u | +3.47u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sinner | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 2 |
| Distance | โ | 145 mi ยท 233 km |
| Route | โ | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (88% vs Mochizuki's 38%).
| Opponent | Sinner | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Fabian Marozsan | W 61 75 | L 46 36 |
| Rafael Jodar | W 62 76 | W 16 76 64 64 |
| Clement Tabur | W 61 63 64 | W 16 75 26 63 61 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | L 63 62 57 16 16 | L 46 76 26 |
| Casper Ruud | W 64 64 | L 64 16 16 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | W 67 61 64 | L 46 75 36 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 75 76 | L 36 63 26 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 61 63 76 | W 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London ยท Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London ยท Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris ยท 2nd Round
May 28
Soon Woo Kwon
Quebec City Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 19
Fabian Marozsan
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Hayato Matsuoka
Vancouver Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Charles Broom
Vancouver Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Liam Draxl
Winnipeg Challenger ยท Semifinals
Jul 25
Johannus Monday
Winnipeg Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Duncan Chan
Winnipeg Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 23
Philip Sekulic
Winnipeg Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 22
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 55โ71 matches
| Metric | Sinner | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 94% | 40% |
| Sets won | 88% | 45% |
| Games won | 62% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sinner | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sinner | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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