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Head-to-Head

Jannik Sinner vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Jannik Sinner

🇮🇹Jannik Sinner

#1 · 25 yrs · R

14w
1–2

3 meetings · sets 3–5

Pablo Carreno Busta

🇪🇸Pablo Carreno Busta

#65 · 35 yrs · R

Jannik Sinner and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 3 times since 2020; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Busta leads 2–1. Across all meetings Sinner has taken 3 sets to Busta's 5. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2022).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorSinnerCarreno Busta
Wins in straight sets91%53%
Wins a set when losing100%44%
Goes to a deciding set11%46%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite89%48%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog—59%
Tiebreak sets won80%67%
Wins after taking set 1100%89%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 195%67%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sinner 0, Carreno Busta 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Sinner

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer
vs

Busta

🏹 Frontrunner

Fast startsAggressive openersMomentum-drivenStrong holds

Matchup analysis

👑 The Complete Package vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 411 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

Aug 11, 2022

National Bank Open - Montreal

H Hard · 3rd Round

26
46
Busta

Mar 27, 2022

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · 3rd Round

57
75
75
Sinner

Feb 14, 2020

ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam

H Hard · Quarterfinals

57
63
667
Busta

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricSinnerBusta
W-L-6–6
Avg odds-2.47
ROI %--9.8%
Units P/L--1.18u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricSinnerBusta
Countries—1
Events—2
Matches—6
Distance—663 mi · 1,067 km
Route—CHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Busta's 50%).

OpponentSinnerBusta
Felix Auger-Aliassime
W
63
64
L
36
64
16
Daniil Medvedev
W
62
57
64
L
46
26
Jiri Lehecka
W
64
64
L
16
67
64
26
Andrey Rublev
W
62
64
L
67
16
Tomas Machac
W
61
67
63
W
63
62
Jan-Lennard Struff
W
75
76
63
W
64
76
Rafael Jodar
W
62
76
L
63
36
61
36
46
Denis Shapovalov
W
63
62
W
63
76
Miomir Kecmanovic
W
46
63
67
62
63
W
46
63
76
Andrea Pellegrino
W
62
63
W
63
64

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Sinner
WWWWWWWL
W

Alexander Zverev

Wimbledon - London · Final

677
762
63
64

Jul 12

W

Novak Djokovic

Wimbledon - London · Semifinals

64
64
64

Jul 10

W

Jan-Lennard Struff

Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals

75
764
63

Jul 7

W

Shintaro Mochizuki

Wimbledon - London · 4th Round

63
760
63

Jul 5

W

Jenson Brooksby

Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round

64
63
64

Jul 3

W

Nuno Borges

Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round

764
762
64

Jul 1

W

Miomir Kecmanovic

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

46
63
667
62
63

Jun 29

L

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

French Open - Paris · 2nd Round

63
62
57
16
16

May 28

Busta
LWWLWWLL
L

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round

36
64
16

Oct 12

W

Alejandro Tabilo

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

46
762
64

Oct 10

W

Mariano Navone

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round

46
75
63

Oct 8

L

Daniil Medvedev

China Open - Beijing · 1st Round

46
26

Oct 2

W

Adrian Mannarino

China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying

63
64

Sep 29

W

Yi Zhou

China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying

75
63

Sep 28

L

Jiri Lehecka

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

16
657
64
26

Aug 30

L

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round

Aug 24

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ SinnerBusta ahead↓ Busta

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–61 matches

MetricSinnerBusta
Matches won95%62%
Sets won89%58%
Games won62%52%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageSinnerBusta
ATP 50001
ATP Masters 100011

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceSinnerBusta
Hard12

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Jannik Sinner vs Pablo Carreno Busta FAQ

Pablo Carreno Busta leads the head-to-head 2–1 over 3 meetings.