Jannik Sinner and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 3 times since 2020; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 2–1. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at ATP Masters 1000 Canada (2022).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 60% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 70 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Pablo Carreno Busta.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
3 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sinner | Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jannik Sinner | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 81% | 17/21 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 12/21 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/12 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sinner | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 20–1 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.14 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | +9.3% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.95u | +0.83u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Busta's 60%).
| Opponent | Sinner | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | W 62 76 | L 64 64 16 26 26 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 64 | W 63 76 63 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | W 62 63 | W 63 64 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 63 64 | W 36 63 64 |
| Arthur Fils | W 62 64 | L 36 46 |
| Pedro Martinez | W 61 63 61 | W 64 46 64 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 63 62 | W 62 64 |
| Luca Nardi | W 64 63 60 | W 67 64 76 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 67 62 36 | L 57 64 62 67 36 |
| Ben Shelton | W 63 64 64 | L 46 26 46 |
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Clement Tabur
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Final
May 17
Daniil Medvedev
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Semifinals
May 16
Andrey Rublev
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Quarterfinals
May 14
Andrea Pellegrino
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 16
May 12
Alexei Popyrin
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 11
Sebastian Ofner
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 9
Rafael Jodar
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Jiri Lehecka
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Sebastian Baez
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 14
Francisco Comesana
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 32
May 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 6
Martin Damm
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–80 matches
| Metric | Sinner | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 94% | 67% |
| Sets won | 88% | 60% |
| Games won | 64% | 53% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sinner | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sinner | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
