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Head-to-Head

Jannik Sinner vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Jannik Sinner

🇮🇹Jannik Sinner

#1 · 25 yrs · R

7w
1–2

3 meetings · sets 3–5

Pablo Carreno Busta

🇪🇸Pablo Carreno Busta

#66 · 35 yrs · R

Jannik Sinner and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 3 times since 2020; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Busta leads 2–1. Across all meetings Sinner has taken 3 sets to Busta's 5. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2022).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorSinnerCarreno Busta
Wins in straight sets88%57%
Wins a set when losing100%50%
Goes to a deciding set13%45%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite87%47%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog—57%
Tiebreak sets won80%63%
Wins after taking set 1100%89%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 192%66%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sinner 0, Carreno Busta 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Sinner

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer
vs

Busta

🏹 Frontrunner

Fast startsAggressive openersMomentum-drivenStrong holds

Matchup analysis

The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 102 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jannik Sinner.

The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

Aug 11, 2022

National Bank Open - Montreal

H Hard · 3rd Round

26
46
Busta

Mar 27, 2022

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · 3rd Round

57
75
75
Sinner

Feb 14, 2020

ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam

H Hard · Quarterfinals

57
63
667
Busta

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeSinnerBusta
1 or more100%88%
3 or more100%63%
5 or more100%25%
10 or more100%0%
15 or more86%0%
20 or more29%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricSinnerBusta
W-L7–04–5
Avg odds1.082.29
ROI %+7.9%+0.8%
Units P/L+0.55u+0.07u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricSinnerBusta
Countries—2
Events—2
Matches—3
Distance—712 mi · 1,146 km
Route—CAN → USA

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Busta's 80%).

OpponentSinnerBusta
Andrey Rublev
W
62
64
L
67
16
Tomas Machac
W
61
67
63
W
63
62
Jan-Lennard Struff
W
75
76
63
W
64
76
Rafael Jodar
W
62
76
L
63
36
61
36
46
Denis Shapovalov
W
63
62
W
63
76
Miomir Kecmanovic
W
46
63
67
62
63
W
46
63
76
Jiri Lehecka
W
64
64
W
63
76
63
Andrea Pellegrino
W
62
63
W
63
64
Sebastian Ofner
W
63
64
W
36
63
64
Elmer Moller
W
62
63
W
62
63

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Sinner
WWWWWWWL
W

Alexander Zverev

Wimbledon - London · Final

677
762
63
64

Jul 12

W

Novak Djokovic

Wimbledon - London · Semifinals

64
64
64

Jul 10

W

Jan-Lennard Struff

Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals

75
764
63

Jul 7

W

Shintaro Mochizuki

Wimbledon - London · 4th Round

63
760
63

Jul 5

W

Jenson Brooksby

Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round

64
63
64

Jul 3

W

Nuno Borges

Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round

764
762
64

Jul 1

W

Miomir Kecmanovic

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

46
63
667
62
63

Jun 29

L

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

French Open - Paris · 2nd Round

63
62
57
16
16

May 28

Busta
LWLLWLWL
L

Andrey Rublev

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

657
16

Aug 16

W

Tomas Machac

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

63
62

Aug 14

L

Valentin Royer

National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round

61
57
26

Aug 4

L

Luca Van Assche

Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round

36
64
26

Jul 23

W

Vilius Gaubas

Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round

61
63

Jul 21

L

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round

63
57
57

Jul 15

W

Matej Dodig

Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round

64
62

Jul 14

L

Rafael Jodar

Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round

63
36
61
36
46

Jul 2

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ SinnerBusta ahead↓ Busta

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–72 matches

MetricSinnerBusta
Matches won94%65%
Sets won87%60%
Games won62%53%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageSinnerBusta
ATP World Tour Masters 100011
ATP World Tour 50001

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceSinnerBusta
Hard12

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Jannik Sinner vs Pablo Carreno Busta FAQ

Pablo Carreno Busta leads the head-to-head 2–1 over 3 meetings.