Jannik Sinner vs Learner TienPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jannik Sinner and Learner Tien have met 2 times since 2025; Jannik Sinner leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at China Open - Beijing in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Sinner leads 2–0. Sinner has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Sinner leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Sinner has taken 4 sets to Tien's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sinner | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jannik Sinner | Learner Tien | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 91% | 42/46 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 100% | 1/1 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 11% | 5/47 | 39% | 18/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 89% | 42/47 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 63% | 10/16 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 80% | 12/15 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 44/44 | 89% | 25/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 95% | 42/44 | 57% | 16/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sinner 2, Tien 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Tien
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Learner Tien.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 12, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 1, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · Final
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sinner | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 11–8 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.72 |
| ROI % | - | -8.7% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.66u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sinner | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km |
| Route | — | GBR → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Tien's 50%).
| Opponent | Sinner | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Casper Ruud | W 64 64 | L 46 67 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 67 76 63 64 | L 67 36 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 62 76 | W 63 26 107 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 64 | L 36 57 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 67 62 36 | W 62 64 |
| Nuno Borges | W 76 76 64 | W 64 61 62 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 62 62 | L 46 64 46 |
| Ben Shelton | W 63 64 64 | L 26 36 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 46 63 67 62 63 | W 64 67 76 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | W 61 61 | W 61 64 67 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 28
Casper Ruud
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Zachary Svajda
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 27
Flavio Cobolli
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Jiri Lehecka
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Jakub Mensik
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Karen Khachanov
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–65 matches
| Metric | Sinner | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 95% | 66% |
| Sets won | 89% | 60% |
| Games won | 62% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sinner | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sinner | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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