Jannik Sinner vs Learner TienPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฎ๐นJannik Sinner
#1 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
7w2 meetings ยท sets 4โ0

๐บ๐ธLearner Tien
#15 ยท 20 yrs ยท L
Jannik Sinner and Learner Tien have met 2 times since 2025; Jannik Sinner leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at China Open - Beijing in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Sinner leads 2โ0. Sinner has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Sinner leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Sinner has taken 4 sets to Tien's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sinner | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jannik Sinner | Learner Tien | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 88% | 46/52 | 50% | 16/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 100% | 1/1 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 13% | 7/53 | 46% | 22/48 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 87% | 46/53 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | โ | 68% | 13/19 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 80% | 12/15 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 50/50 | 92% | 24/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 92% | 46/50 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sinner 2, Tien 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sinner
๐ The Complete Package
Tien
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ The Complete Package vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 532 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 12, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 1, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard ยท Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sinner | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jannik Sinner | Learner Tien | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 10 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Sinner | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ0 | 7โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.08 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | +7.9% | -14.6% |
| Units P/L | +0.55u | -1.75u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sinner | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 7 |
| Distance | โ | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km |
| Route | โ | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Tien's 50%).
| Opponent | Sinner | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | W 62 62 | L 46 64 46 |
| Ben Shelton | W 63 64 64 | L 26 36 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 67 76 63 64 | L 36 76 16 67 |
| Nuno Borges | W 76 76 64 | W 76 64 62 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 46 63 67 62 63 | W 64 67 76 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | W 61 61 | W 61 64 67 63 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 63 64 | L 76 57 67 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 62 76 | L 26 26 36 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 64 64 | W 61 46 76 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 75 76 | W 64 36 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London ยท Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London ยท Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris ยท 2nd Round
May 28
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 19
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท Semifinals
Aug 13
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 4th Round
Aug 9
Tommy Paul
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Gael Monfils
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Adrian Mannarino
Citi Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 63โ72 matches
| Metric | Sinner | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 94% | 68% |
| Sets won | 87% | 61% |
| Games won | 62% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sinner | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sinner | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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