Jan Kumstat vs Juan Pablo VarillasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Como Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- August 31 · 8:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 4.56 or longer, Juan Pablo Varillas has won 3 of 15 matches, 20% against a fair-price expectation of 13%.
Priced around 1.18 or shorter, Jan Kumstat has won 13 of 14 matches, 93% against a fair-price expectation of 84%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Jan Kumstat and Juan Pablo Varillas meet next at the Como Challenger on August 31 on clay.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kumstat | Pablo Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jan Kumstat | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 31/42 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 18/60 | 29% | 18/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 65% | 24/37 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 12/18 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 11/21 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 35/40 | 89% | 34/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 31/40 | 68% | 26/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kumstat
👑 The Complete Package
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 458 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jan Kumstat.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Kumstat and Varillas have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kumstat | Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jan Kumstat | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 28/28 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 96% | 27/28 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 86% | 24/28 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 10 or more | 39% | 11/28 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 2/28 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 4% | 1/28 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kumstat | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 22–7 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.68 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | +25.4% | +49.5% |
| Units P/L | +7.36u | +3.47u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kumstat | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 11 | 1 |
| Distance | 593 mi · 954 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CZE → GER → CZE | SMR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kumstat has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Varillas's 50%).
| Opponent | Kumstat | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | W 64 57 62 | W 63 76 |
| Gonzalo Bueno | W 63 61 | L 06 57 |
| Zdenek Kolar | W 62 46 63 | L 67 76 67 |
| Szymon Karpinski | W 67 76 75 | W 63 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Prague Challenger · Final
Aug 22
Filip Cristian Jianu
Prague Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 21
Maxim Mrva
Prague Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sumit Nagal
Prague Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Petr Brunclik
Prague Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Marvin Moeller
Hamburg Challenger · Final
Aug 16
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Hamburg Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 15
Max Houkes
Hamburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Timofey Skatov
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Maestrelli
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jacopo Vasami
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Luis Carlos Alvarez
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Bruno Fernandez
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–63 matches
| Metric | Kumstat | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 57% |
| Sets won | 65% | 56% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |