James Duckworth vs Matteo ArnaldiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
James Duckworth and Matteo Arnaldi have met 1 time since 2026; James Duckworth leads 1–0. Across all meetings Duckworth has taken 3 sets to Arnaldi's 1. Their most recent meeting: James Duckworth won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Duckworth | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | James Duckworth | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 27/38 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 10/26 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 21/64 | 57% | 21/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 17/29 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 13/30 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 28/35 | 87% | 13/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 27/35 | 53% | 8/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Duckworth
🤖 Servebot
Arnaldi
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 31, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Duckworth | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | James Duckworth | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Duckworth | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.54 | 3.31 |
| ROI % | +10.5% | -27.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.58u | -2.19u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Duckworth | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,032 mi · 1,661 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Arnaldi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Duckworth's 38%).
| Opponent | Duckworth | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 36 67 | W 64 64 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 67 62 64 | W 75 26 64 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 64 46 75 64 | L 63 46 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 67 | W 46 76 64 |
| Giles Hussey | L 46 46 | L 46 26 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 16 76 46 57 | L 16 64 36 |
| Nuno Borges | L 63 46 26 | W 63 67 76 |
| Tristan Schoolkate | W 63 62 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hubert Hurkacz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Lorenzo Sonego
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Kamil Majchrzak
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Yibing Wu
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Matteo Arnaldi
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Arthur Fery
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Semifinals
Aug 29
Fabian Marozsan
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Taylor Fritz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Bernard Tomic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Rei Sakamoto
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
James Duckworth
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Fabian Marozsan
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–71 matches
| Metric | Duckworth | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 52% |
| Sets won | 55% | 50% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Duckworth | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Duckworth | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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