Head-to-Head

James Duckworth vs Matteo ArnaldiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇦🇺James Duckworth

#79 · 34 yrs · R

444-match win streakBeat 4 favorites

0–0

First meeting

🇮🇹Matteo Arnaldi

#34 · 25 yrs · R

Upcoming match

Tournament: U.S. Open - New York
Level: Grand Slam
Round: 1st Round
Surface: Hard
Date & time: August 31 · 1:00 PM ET

Book odds

Matteo Arnaldi1.961.60

James Duckworth1.822.31

Set spread

Arnaldi -1.52.05

Duckworth +1.51.71

Game spread

Arnaldi -2.51.82

Duckworth +2.51.91

ArnaldiHard-court specialist (61%)DuckworthHard-court specialist (71%)

Record at prices like this

Matteo Arnaldi1.6059% fairWon 70%

Priced around 1.60 or shorter, Matteo Arnaldi has won 62 of 88 matches, 70% against a fair-price expectation of 65%.

James Duckworth2.3141% fairWon 34%

Priced around 2.31 or longer, James Duckworth has won 26 of 77 matches, 34% against a fair-price expectation of 34%.

Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.

James Duckworth and Matteo Arnaldi meet next at the U.S. Open - New York on August 31 on hard.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicator	Duckworth	Arnaldi
Indicator	James Duckworth		Matteo Arnaldi
Wins in straight sets	70%	28/40	41%	7/17
Wins a set when losing	38%	10/26	58%	11/19
Goes to a deciding set	33%	22/66	58%	21/36
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite	54%	19/35	24%	4/17
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog	59%	16/27	63%	10/16
Tiebreak sets won	40%	14/35	60%	12/20
Wins after taking set 1	83%	30/36	87%	13/15
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1	78%	28/36	47%	7/15

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Duckworth

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Arnaldi

⚙️ Grinder

Relentless consistencyDeep court positioningHigh rally toleranceMental fortitude

Matchup analysis

The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward James Duckworth.

Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.

Previous meetings

First career meeting

Duckworth and Arnaldi have never faced each other on tour.

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

Outcome	Duckworth	Arnaldi
Outcome	James Duckworth		Matteo Arnaldi
1 or more	100%	14/14	100%	10/10
3 or more	100%	14/14	90%	9/10
5 or more	86%	12/14	70%	7/10
10 or more	14%	2/14	20%	2/10
15 or more	7%	1/14	0%	0/10
20 or more	0%	0/14	0%	0/10

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Duckworth	Arnaldi
W-L	8–6	2–5
Avg odds	2.55	1.87
ROI %	+13.6%	-50.4%
Units P/L	+1.91u	-3.53u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

Metric	Duckworth	Arnaldi
Countries	2	2
Events	3	2
Matches	8	3
Distance	1,024 mi · 1,648 km	712 mi · 1,146 km
Route	CAN → USA	CAN → USA

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Arnaldi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Duckworth's 50%).

Opponent	Duckworth	Arnaldi
Fabian Marozsan	W 67 62 64	W 75 26 64
Tallon Griekspoor	W 64 46 75 64	L 63 46 36
Alex de Minaur	L 26 67	W 46 76 64
Rafael Jodar	L 16 76 46 57	L 16 64 36
Nuno Borges	L 63 46 26	W 63 67 76
Tristan Schoolkate	W 63 62	W 76 63

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Duckworth

WWWWLWLW

Fabian Marozsan

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals

6⁴7

Aug 28

Lorenzo Sonego

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round

Aug 27

Mariano Navone

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round

76⁵

Aug 26

Quinn Vandecasteele

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round

Aug 24

Arthur Fery

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

6⁴7

Aug 16

J.J. Wolf

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

76⁰

Aug 14

Alex de Minaur

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

6⁶7

Aug 5

Christopher O'Connell

National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round

Aug 3

Arnaldi

LLWLWLLW

Martin Landaluce

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

Aug 15

Tallon Griekspoor

National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round

Aug 7

Fabian Marozsan

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

Aug 6

Damir Dzumhur

Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals

6⁵7

76⁴

6⁴7

Jul 16

Federico Agustin Gomez

Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round

Jul 15

Quentin Halys

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

6⁵7

Jun 30

Giles Hussey

Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round

Jun 23

Matteo Berrettini

Roland Garros · Quarterfinals

Jun 3

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–71 matches

Metric	Duckworth	Arnaldi
Matches won	59%	50%
Sets won	56%	49%
Games won	53%	49%