Jacob Fearnley vs Mackenzie McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jacob Fearnley and Mackenzie McDonald have met 1 time since 2026; Jacob Fearnley leads 1–0. Across all meetings Fearnley has taken 2 sets to McDonald's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jacob Fearnley won at Quebec City Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fearnley | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jacob Fearnley | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 16/30 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 9/20 | 24% | 6/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 23/50 | 28% | 14/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 14/37 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 13/24 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 20/20 | 87% | 20/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 16/20 | 74% | 17/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fearnley 1, McDonald 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fearnley
🎾 All-Court
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 54% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 337 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jacob Fearnley.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 20, 2026
Quebec City Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fearnley | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jacob Fearnley | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| 1 or more | 96% | 24/25 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 72% | 18/25 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 5 or more | 48% | 12/25 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 10 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fearnley | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–7 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.71 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | +10.5% | -24.7% |
| Units P/L | +2.62u | -2.72u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fearnley | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 1 |
| Distance | 145 mi · 233 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fearnley has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs McDonald's 30%).
| Opponent | Fearnley | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Michelsen | L 67 36 | L 46 57 |
| Adam Walton | W 57 76 64 | L 16 36 |
| Christopher O'Connell | W 76 76 | W 63 64 64 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 63 61 | L 67 57 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 36 63 107 | W 36 63 62 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 16 67 | L 36 67 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 26 62 63 | L 62 16 26 |
| Arthur Cazaux | L 26 63 16 | L 36 26 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 75 62 | W 60 61 |
| Elias Ymer | L 26 26 | L 67 64 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Alexis Galarneau
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Jakub Mensik
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Adrian Mannarino
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · Final
Jul 26
Michael Zheng
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 25
J.J. Wolf
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Adam Walton
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Patrick Kypson
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Roberto Carballes Baena
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Christopher O'Connell
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Shintaro Mochizuki
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–54 matches
| Metric | Fearnley | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 49% |
| Sets won | 53% | 48% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fearnley | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fearnley | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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