Ilya Ivashka vs Tomas MachacPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐พIlya Ivashka
#237 ยท 32 yrs ยท R
73 meetings ยท sets 4โ2

๐จ๐ฟTomas Machac
#75 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
Ilya Ivashka and Tomas Machac have met 3 times since 2019; Ilya Ivashka leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Eckental in 2019 on carpet. Across all meetings Ivashka has taken 4 sets to Machac's 2. Their most recent meeting: Ilya Ivashka won at Ortisei Challenger (2020).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ivashka | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ilya Ivashka | Tomas Machac | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 18/32 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 4/12 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 18/44 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 17/30 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 6/11 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 28/29 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 18/29 | 63% | 5/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ivashka 2, Machac 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ivashka
๐ The Complete Package
Machac
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ๐ The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tomas Machac.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Nov 20, 2020
Ortisei Challenger
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 17, 2020
Prague Challenger
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Oct 30, 2019
Eckental
? Carpet ยท Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ivashka | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ilya Ivashka | Tomas Machac | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 53% | 8/15 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Ivashka | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14โ4 | 2โ6 |
| Avg odds | 1.51 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | +9.1% | -56.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.64u | -4.51u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ivashka | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 5 |
| Distance | โ | 663 mi ยท 1,067 km |
| Route | โ | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kaichi Uchida
Jinan Challenger ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Beibit Zhukayev
Jinan Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger ยท Final
Sep 13
Luca Castelnuovo
Shanghai Challenger ยท Semifinals
Sep 12
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Bernard Tomic
Shanghai Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 10
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Shanghai Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 8
Ilia Simakin
Zhangjiagang Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Zhizhen Zhang
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Arthur Gea
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yannick Hanfmann
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 30
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 33โ45 matches
| Metric | Ivashka | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 48% |
| Sets won | 64% | 48% |
| Games won | 56% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ivashka | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ivashka | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Carpet | 1 | 0 |
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