Ilya Ivashka vs Kaichi UchidaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ilya Ivashka and Kaichi Uchida have met 2 times since 2019; Ilya Ivashka leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Nur-Sultan 2 in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Ivashka leads 2–0. Ivashka has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ivashka has taken 4 sets to Uchida's 0. Their most recent meeting: Ilya Ivashka won at Jinan Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ivashka | Uchida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ilya Ivashka | Kaichi Uchida | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 18/32 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 4/12 | 31% | 11/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 18/44 | 33% | 19/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 17/30 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 6/11 | 42% | 13/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 28/29 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 18/29 | 58% | 14/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ivashka 2, Uchida 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ivashka
👑 The Complete Package
Uchida
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 12, 2026
Jinan Challenger
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 2, 2019
Nur-Sultan 2
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ivashka | Uchida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ilya Ivashka | Kaichi Uchida | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 8/16 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ivashka | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–4 | 2–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.49 | 3.43 |
| ROI % | +9.3% | -60.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.76u | -5.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ivashka | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 765 mi · 1,231 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ivashka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Uchida's 25%).
| Opponent | Ivashka | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| Marat Sharipov | W 64 36 76 | L 16 26 |
| Bernard Tomic | W 64 46 62 | L 36 26 |
| Liam Broady | L 16 36 | L 67 16 |
| Oliver Crawford | L 16 46 | W 67 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kaichi Uchida
Jinan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Beibit Zhukayev
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · Final
Sep 13
Luca Castelnuovo
Shanghai Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Bernard Tomic
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Ilia Simakin
Zhangjiagang Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Ilya Ivashka
Jinan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Jesse Delaney
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Ryan Seggerman
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Masamichi Imamura
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Rio Noguchi
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Linang Xiao
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Hanyi Liu
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–57 matches
| Metric | Ivashka | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 39% |
| Sets won | 64% | 41% |
| Games won | 56% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ivashka | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ivashka | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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