Iga Swiatek vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#9 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–3
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#58 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Iga Swiatek and Paula Badosa have met 3 times since 2021; Iga Swiatek leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Olympics - Tokyo in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Swiatek leads 2–1. Swiatek has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Swiatek has taken 4 sets to Badosa's 3. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at Billie Jean King Cup, Finals (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Swiatek | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Iga Swiatek | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 33/42 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 63% | 10/16 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 19/58 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 32/56 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/1 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 6/9 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 37/43 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 33/43 | 83% | 20/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Swiatek 1, Badosa 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Nov 15, 2024
Billie Jean King Cup, Finals
H Hard · Rubber 2
Nov 15, 2021
WTA Finals - Guadalajara
H Hard · Round Robin
Jul 26, 2021
Olympics - Tokyo
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Swiatek | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Iga Swiatek | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 13/17 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–3 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.22 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | +1.3% | -4.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.24u | -0.64u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 10,936 mi · 17,599 km |
| Route | ROU | BRA → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Badosa's 30%).
| Opponent | Swiatek | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Iva Jovic | W 61 63 | L 26 16 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 57 61 61 | W 46 76 64 |
| Nadia Podoroska | W 63 62 | L 36 46 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 76 76 | L 63 36 46 |
| Coco Gauff | L 46 26 | L 46 67 |
| Elena Rybakina | W | L 36 26 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 46 61 61 | W 63 64 |
| Emiliana Arango | W 63 60 | W 63 62 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 63 16 63 | L |
| Emma Navarro | L 57 62 36 | L 64 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Iva Jovic
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Donna Vekic
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Xinyu Gao
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Marie Bouzkova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Nadia Podoroska
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Xiyu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Daria Kasatkina
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Sep 19
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Jazmin Ortenzi
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Justina Mikulskyte
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Daria Kasatkina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–58 matches
| Metric | Swiatek | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 60% |
| Sets won | 70% | 59% |
| Games won | 60% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Swiatek | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Swiatek | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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