Iga Swiatek vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#8 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–3
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#83 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
5wIga Swiatek and Paula Badosa have met 3 times since 2021; Iga Swiatek leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Olympics - Tokyo in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Swiatek leads 2–1. Swiatek has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Swiatek has taken 4 sets to Badosa's 3. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at Billie Jean King Cup, Finals (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Swiatek | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Iga Swiatek | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 35/44 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 65% | 11/17 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 34/59 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/1 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 6/8 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 39/45 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 35/45 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Swiatek 1, Badosa 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Nov 15, 2024
Billie Jean King Cup, Finals
H Hard · Rubber 2
Nov 15, 2021
WTA Finals - Guadalajara
H Hard · Round Robin
Jul 26, 2021
Olympics - Tokyo
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Swiatek | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Iga Swiatek | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–3 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.24 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | -6.7% | +18.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.87u | +3.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 9 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Badosa's 50%).
| Opponent | Swiatek | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Sakkari | W 46 61 61 | W 63 64 |
| Emiliana Arango | W 63 60 | W 63 62 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 63 16 63 | L 75 26 57 |
| Emma Navarro | L 57 62 36 | L 64 36 57 |
| Coco Gauff | L 46 26 | W 16 63 62 |
| Suzan Lamens | W 63 62 | W 63 62 |
| Daria Snigur | W 61 62 | L 16 67 |
| Eva Lys | W 36 63 64 | L 62 57 46 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 61 16 61 | L 46 26 |
| Kayla Day | W 60 76 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Maria Sakkari
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Emiliana Arango
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Mayar Sherif
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Panna Udvardy
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Katarzyna Kawa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 22
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Semifinals
Jul 18
Panna Udvardy
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alevtina Ibragimova
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anhelina Kalinina
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Simona Waltert
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–61 matches
| Metric | Swiatek | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 59% |
| Sets won | 70% | 59% |
| Games won | 60% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Swiatek | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Swiatek | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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