Iga Swiatek vs Karolina PliskovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#8 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 8–1
🇨🇿Karolina Pliskova
#56 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
Iga Swiatek and Karolina Pliskova have met 4 times since 2021; Iga Swiatek leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Swiatek leads 2–0. Swiatek has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Swiatek leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Swiatek has taken 8 sets to Pliskova's 1. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Swiatek | Pliskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Iga Swiatek | Karolina Pliskova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 34/43 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 65% | 11/17 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/60 | 35% | 11/31 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 33/58 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/1 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 5/7 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 38/44 | 88% | 14/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 34/44 | 75% | 12/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Swiatek 3, Pliskova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Pliskova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Iga Swiatek.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 2, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Aug 9, 2023
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 21, 2023
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 16, 2021
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Swiatek | Pliskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Iga Swiatek | Karolina Pliskova | ||
| 1 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 64% | 7/11 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–3 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.24 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | -6.7% | -13.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.87u | -1.50u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 3 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Pliskova's 50%).
| Opponent | Swiatek | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Sakkari | W 46 61 61 | W 64 76 |
| Sara Bejlek | W 60 63 | L 06 26 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 63 46 36 | L 06 26 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 62 63 | L 46 16 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 61 67 63 | W 64 76 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 57 16 | L 06 26 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 63 | W 61 64 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 16 76 75 | W 61 63 |
| Janice Tjen | W 60 63 | W 64 64 |
| Madison Keys | W 61 62 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Maria Sakkari
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Emiliana Arango
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Oleksandra Oliynykova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Iga Swiatek
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Tereza Valentova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Marie Bouzkova
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · Semifinals
Jun 20
Talia Gibson
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Caty Mcnally
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–60 matches
| Metric | Swiatek | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 61% |
| Sets won | 69% | 58% |
| Games won | 60% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Swiatek | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Swiatek | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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