Iga Swiatek vs Karolina PliskovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ต๐ฑIga Swiatek
#9 ยท 25 yrs ยท Right-Handed
4 meetings ยท sets 8โ1

๐จ๐ฟKarolina Pliskova
#49 ยท 34 yrs ยท Right-Handed
6wIga Swiatek and Karolina Pliskova have met 4 times since 2021; Iga Swiatek leads 4โ0. Their first meeting came at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Swiatek leads 2โ0. Swiatek has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Swiatek leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Swiatek has taken 8 sets to Pliskova's 1. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Swiatek | Pliskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Iga Swiatek | Karolina Pliskova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 33/42 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 63% | 10/16 | 25% | 3/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 19/58 | 34% | 11/32 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 32/56 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/1 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 6/9 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 37/43 | 93% | 13/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 33/43 | 86% | 12/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Swiatek 3, Pliskova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Swiatek
๐ The Complete Package
Pliskova
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
The ๐ The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs ๐ค Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Iga Swiatek.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 2, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 2nd Round
Aug 9, 2023
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Apr 21, 2023
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
May 16, 2021
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay ยท Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Swiatek | Pliskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Iga Swiatek | Karolina Pliskova | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 13/17 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15โ3 | 2โ3 |
| Avg odds | 1.22 | 2.73 |
| ROI % | +1.3% | -35.6% |
| Units P/L | +0.24u | -1.78u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 1 | โ |
| Matches | 4 | โ |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | ROU | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Pliskova's 40%).
| Opponent | Swiatek | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Elise Mertens | L 67 36 | W 75 26 76 |
| Donna Vekic | W 46 76 62 | L 46 64 36 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 76 76 | L 46 16 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 62 61 | L 16 67 |
| Elena Rybakina | W | L 06 26 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 46 61 61 | W 64 76 |
| Sara Bejlek | W 60 63 | L 06 26 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 63 46 36 | L 06 26 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 61 67 63 | W 64 76 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 63 | W 61 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Iva Jovic
China Open - Beijing ยท 4th Round
Oct 7
Donna Vekic
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 5
Xinyu Gao
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York ยท 4th Round
Sep 7
Marie Bouzkova
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 5
Nadia Podoroska
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Xiyu Wang
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Diana Shnaider
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 2
Hanne Vandewinkel
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 30
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Oleksandra Oliynykova
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Iga Swiatek
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Tereza Valentova
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Marie Bouzkova
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham ยท Semifinals
Jun 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 32โ58 matches
| Metric | Swiatek | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 63% |
| Sets won | 70% | 57% |
| Games won | 60% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Swiatek | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Swiatek | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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