Iga Swiatek vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#8 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
6 meetings · sets 3–12
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Iga Swiatek and Jelena Ostapenko have met 6 times since 2019; Jelena Ostapenko leads 6–0. Their first meeting came at Birmingham in 2019 on grass. On hard courts Ostapenko leads 4–0. Ostapenko has won the last 6 meetings. Across all meetings Swiatek has taken 3 sets to Ostapenko's 12. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Swiatek | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Iga Swiatek | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 35/44 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 65% | 11/17 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 41% | 16/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 34/59 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/1 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 6/8 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 39/45 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 35/45 | 65% | 15/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Swiatek 0, Ostapenko 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Iga Swiatek and Jelena Ostapenko are 👑 The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 3,166 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Apr 19, 2025
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Feb 14, 2025
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 3, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Feb 16, 2022
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 12, 2021
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Jun 19, 2019
Birmingham
G Grass · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Swiatek | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Iga Swiatek | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| 1 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–3 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.24 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -6.7% | -7.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.87u | -0.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 9 | 1 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Ostapenko's 50%).
| Opponent | Swiatek | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 57 64 46 | L 64 36 26 |
| Sara Bejlek | W 60 63 | L 46 36 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 67 26 | W 64 75 |
| Magda Linette | W 64 64 | L 26 62 26 |
| Sorana Cirstea | W 63 62 | L 16 67 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 61 16 61 | W 61 62 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | W 61 60 | W 75 64 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 63 46 36 | L 75 26 46 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 16 26 | W 57 62 75 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 16 76 75 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Maria Sakkari
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Emiliana Arango
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–61 matches
| Metric | Swiatek | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 56% |
| Sets won | 70% | 56% |
| Games won | 60% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Swiatek | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 3 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Swiatek | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 4 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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