Hugo Gaston vs Luciano DarderiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hugo Gaston and Luciano Darderi have met 3 times since 2023; Luciano Darderi leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Cordoba Open - Cordoba in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Darderi leads 2–0. Across all meetings Gaston has taken 3 sets to Darderi's 4. Their most recent meeting: Luciano Darderi won at Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gaston | Darderi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hugo Gaston | Luciano Darderi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 21/32 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 9/23 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/55 | 42% | 22/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 16/34 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 11/18 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 24/29 | 81% | 22/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 59% | 16/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gaston 1, Darderi 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Darderi
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 3, 2025
Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 6, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 6, 2023
Cordoba Open - Cordoba
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gaston | Darderi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hugo Gaston | Luciano Darderi | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 95% | 19/20 |
| 3 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 80% | 16/20 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 50% | 10/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 15% | 3/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 10% | 2/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gaston | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 13–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.43 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | -2.1% | +5.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.30u | +1.07u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gaston | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 103 mi · 165 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Darderi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Gaston's 20%).
| Opponent | Gaston | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 16 46 26 | L 36 46 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 76 67 16 | L 46 36 |
| Jaime Faria | W 46 76 64 | W 26 75 62 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 26 57 | W 64 64 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | L 16 36 | W 63 36 108 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 62 46 26 16 | L 26 36 |
| Sebastian Ofner | L 46 26 | W 76 62 63 |
| Karen Khachanov | L 63 36 67 | W 76 36 63 64 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 62 64 | L 62 46 16 |
| Martin Landaluce | L 36 26 | L 36 76 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Liam Draxl
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Jaime Faria
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Sho Shimabukuro
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Colton Smith
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Andre Ilagan
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Guido Ivan Justo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Kyrian Jacquet
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Casper Ruud
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 8
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Harry Wendelken
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Botic van de Zandschulp
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–64 matches
| Metric | Gaston | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 56% |
| Sets won | 54% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gaston | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gaston | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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