Hugo Gaston vs Luciano DarderiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hugo Gaston and Luciano Darderi have met 3 times since 2023; Luciano Darderi leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Cordoba Open - Cordoba in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Darderi leads 2–0. Across all meetings Gaston has taken 3 sets to Darderi's 4. Their most recent meeting: Luciano Darderi won at Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gaston | Darderi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hugo Gaston | Luciano Darderi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 22/35 | 60% | 21/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 8/22 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 21/57 | 38% | 23/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 17/35 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 27/30 | 84% | 27/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 22/30 | 66% | 21/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gaston 1, Darderi 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Darderi
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 3, 2025
Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 6, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 6, 2023
Cordoba Open - Cordoba
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gaston | Darderi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hugo Gaston | Luciano Darderi | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gaston | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 1.97 |
| ROI % | +7.8% | -0.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.24u | -0.07u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gaston | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Darderi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Gaston's 14%).
| Opponent | Gaston | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Altmaier | L 26 57 | W 64 64 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | L 16 36 | W 63 36 108 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 62 46 26 16 | L 26 36 |
| Sebastian Ofner | L 46 26 | W 76 62 63 |
| Karen Khachanov | L 63 36 67 | W 76 36 63 64 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 62 64 | L 62 46 16 |
| Martin Landaluce | L 36 26 | L 36 76 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luca Van Assche
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Jesper de Jong
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Semifinals
Jul 25
Tiago Torres
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Daniel Altmaier
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jan Choinski
Braunschweig Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Braunschweig Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Botic van de Zandschulp
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Mattia Bellucci
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Rinky Hijikata
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Nuno Borges
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Alexander Blockx
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Semifinals
Jul 25
Jaime Faria
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–67 matches
| Metric | Gaston | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 58% |
| Sets won | 56% | 55% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gaston | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gaston | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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