Hugo Gaston vs Luca Van AsschePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hugo Gaston and Luca Van Assche have met 3 times since 2026; Luca Van Assche leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech in 2026 on clay. On clay courts Assche leads 2–0. Assche has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Gaston has taken 0 sets to Assche's 6. Their most recent meeting: Luca Van Assche won at Quebec City Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gaston | Van Assche | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hugo Gaston | Luca Van Assche | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 21/32 | 60% | 29/48 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 9/23 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/55 | 39% | 29/75 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 16/34 | 51% | 25/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 11/18 | 41% | 9/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 24/29 | 95% | 38/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 73% | 29/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gaston 0, Van Assche 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Assche
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Hugo Gaston and Luca Van Assche are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 22, 2026
Quebec City Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Jul 25, 2026
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 31, 2026
Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gaston | Assche | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hugo Gaston | Luca Van Assche | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 3 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 75% | 12/16 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 25% | 4/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gaston | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.43 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -2.1% | +33.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.30u | +5.69u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gaston | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 103 mi · 165 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Assche has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Gaston's 60%).
| Opponent | Gaston | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev | L 76 67 16 | W 36 63 64 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 36 46 | W 67 62 62 63 |
| Titouan Droguet | W 60 63 | L 46 62 67 |
| Moez Echargui | W 61 57 62 64 | W 64 64 |
| Sebastian Ofner | L 46 26 | W 26 62 63 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | L 16 63 16 | W 64 64 |
| Timofey Skatov | W 76 76 | W 61 64 |
| Moise Kouame | W 36 63 64 | W 61 61 |
| Daniil Glinka | W | W 63 60 |
| Alexis Galarneau | W 64 36 64 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Liam Draxl
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Jaime Faria
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Sho Shimabukuro
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Colton Smith
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Andre Ilagan
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Guido Ivan Justo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Bu Yunchaokete
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Denis Shapovalov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Cameron Norrie
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Quebec City Challenger · Final
Aug 23
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Benjamin Bonzi
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–79 matches
| Metric | Gaston | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 63% |
| Sets won | 54% | 58% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gaston | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gaston | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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