Hugo Gaston vs Jannik SinnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hugo Gaston and Jannik Sinner have met 2 times since 2021; Jannik Sinner leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Open 13 Provence - Marseille in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Sinner leads 2–0. Sinner has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Gaston has taken 0 sets to Sinner's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at Miami Open - Miami (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gaston | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hugo Gaston | Jannik Sinner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 22/35 | 88% | 46/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 8/22 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 21/57 | 13% | 7/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 17/35 | 87% | 46/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 27/30 | 100% | 50/50 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 22/30 | 92% | 46/50 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gaston 0, Sinner 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 458 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jannik Sinner.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 26, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 10, 2021
Open 13 Provence - Marseille
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gaston | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hugo Gaston | Jannik Sinner | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 29% | 2/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gaston | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 7–0 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 1.08 |
| ROI % | +7.8% | +7.9% |
| Units P/L | +1.24u | +0.55u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gaston | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Gaston's 25%).
| Opponent | Gaston | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Altmaier | L 26 57 | W 60 62 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 62 46 26 16 | W 75 61 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | L 16 36 | W 62 63 |
| Sebastian Ofner | L 46 26 | W 63 64 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 36 46 | W 62 75 |
| Elmer Moller | L 36 36 | W 62 63 |
| Eliot Spizzirri | W 26 62 61 | W 46 63 64 64 |
| Terence Atmane | W 64 61 | W 64 57 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luca Van Assche
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Jesper de Jong
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Semifinals
Jul 25
Tiago Torres
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Daniel Altmaier
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jan Choinski
Braunschweig Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Braunschweig Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–72 matches
| Metric | Gaston | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 94% |
| Sets won | 56% | 87% |
| Games won | 52% | 62% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gaston | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gaston | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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