Hugo Gaston vs Jannik SinnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hugo Gaston and Jannik Sinner have met 3 times since 2021; Jannik Sinner leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Open 13 Provence - Marseille in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Sinner leads 3–0. Sinner has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Gaston has taken 0 sets to Sinner's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gaston | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hugo Gaston | Jannik Sinner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 21/32 | 91% | 42/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 9/23 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/55 | 11% | 5/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 16/34 | 89% | 42/47 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 11/18 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 24/29 | 100% | 44/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 95% | 42/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gaston 0, Sinner 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jannik Sinner.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 20, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 26, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 10, 2021
Open 13 Provence - Marseille
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gaston | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.43 | - |
| ROI % | -2.1% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.30u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gaston | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 103 mi · 165 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Gaston's 20%).
| Opponent | Gaston | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev | L 76 67 16 | W 62 64 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 26 46 | W 62 57 64 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W | W 62 60 |
| Damir Dzumhur | W | W 63 63 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 26 57 | W 60 62 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 62 46 26 16 | W 75 61 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | L 16 36 | W 62 63 |
| Sebastian Ofner | L 46 26 | W 63 64 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 36 46 | W 62 75 |
| Elmer Moller | L 36 36 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Liam Draxl
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Jaime Faria
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Sho Shimabukuro
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Colton Smith
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Andre Ilagan
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Guido Ivan Justo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–61 matches
| Metric | Gaston | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 95% |
| Sets won | 54% | 89% |
| Games won | 51% | 62% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gaston | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gaston | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
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