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Head-to-Head

Hugo Gaston vs Jacob FearnleyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Hugo Gaston

🇫🇷Hugo Gaston

#93 · 26 yrs · L

0–0

First meeting

Jacob Fearnley

🇬🇧Jacob Fearnley

#87 · 25 yrs · R

Upcoming match

Tournament
European Open - Brussels
Level
ATP 250
Round
1st Round
Surface
Hard
Date & time
October 20 · 10:00 AM ET

Book odds

Jacob Fearnley1.361.60
Hugo Gaston3.162.35

Set spread

Fearnley -1.52.36
Gaston +1.51.52

Game spread

Fearnley -2.51.87
Gaston +2.51.81
FearnleyHard-court specialist (67%)GastonHard-court specialist (56%)

Record at prices like this

Jacob Fearnley1.60implies 66%won 73%+7 pts

At 1.60 or shorter, Jacob Fearnley has won 48 of 66 (73%). The price implied 66%, so Jacob Fearnley has beaten it by 7 points.

Hugo Gaston2.35implies 35%won 27%−8 pts

At 2.35 or longer, Hugo Gaston has won 25 of 93 (27%). The price implied 35%, so Hugo Gaston has fallen 8 points short of it.

Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.

Hugo Gaston and Jacob Fearnley meet next at the European Open - Brussels on October 20 on hard.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorGastonFearnley
Wins in straight sets65%63%
Wins a set when losing38%50%
Goes to a deciding set36%42%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite46%45%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog60%62%
Tiebreak sets won58%54%
Wins after taking set 183%96%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 173%81%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Gaston

🎾 All-Court

Tactical versatilityNet approach abilitySurface adaptabilityWell-rounded game
vs

Fearnley

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance

Matchup analysis

🎾 All-Court vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 938 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

First career meeting

Gaston and Fearnley have never faced each other on tour.

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeGastonFearnley
1 or more81%100%
3 or more38%59%
5 or more13%41%
10 or more0%9%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricGastonFearnley
W-L9–816–7
Avg odds2.251.62
ROI %-4.5%+3.6%
Units P/L-0.77u+0.83u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricGastonFearnley
Countries22
Events32
Matches42
Distance5,701 mi · 9,175 km912 mi · 1,467 km
RouteCHN → BELPOR → BEL

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Fearnley has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Gaston's 40%).

OpponentGastonFearnley
Damir Dzumhur
W
L
67
36
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
L
16
67
W
36
63
107
Andrey Rublev
L
76
67
16
L
16
46
Martin Landaluce
L
36
26
W
46
62
46
75
63
Alexis Galarneau
W
64
36
64
W
62
63
Sebastian Ofner
L
46
26
W
76
62
Titouan Droguet
W
60
63
L
26
76
26
Darwin Blanch
L
63
36
06
W
63
63
Keegan Smith
W
36
63
62
W
46
75
64
Christopher O'Connell
L
26
36
W
76
76

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Gaston
LWWLLWWL
L

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Roanne Challenger · Quarterfinals

16
677

Oct 16

W

Pierre-Hugues Herbert

Roanne Challenger · 2nd Round

36
63
64

Oct 14

W

Daniel Jade

Roanne Challenger · 1st Round

61
61

Oct 12

L

Liam Draxl

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying

57
46

Oct 5

L

Andrey Rublev

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals

766
647
16

Sep 27

W

Jaime Faria

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round

46
765
64

Sep 25

W

Sho Shimabukuro

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round

64
64

Sep 24

L

Daniil Medvedev

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

46
26
46

Aug 30

Fearnley
LWWWWLWL
L

Damir Dzumhur

Olbia Challenger · Final

647
36

Oct 18

W

Luca Nardi

Olbia Challenger · Semifinals

62
64

Oct 17

W

Maxim Mrva

Olbia Challenger · Quarterfinals

60
764

Oct 16

W

Jan Kumstat

Olbia Challenger · 2nd Round

64
63

Oct 15

W

George Loffhagen

Olbia Challenger · 1st Round

61
63

Oct 13

L

Inaki Montes-De La Torre

Porto Challenger · 2nd Round

Oct 1

W

Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Porto Challenger · 1st Round

61
62

Sep 30

L

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

36
36
63
36

Sep 2

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–63 matches

MetricGastonFearnley
Matches won57%59%
Sets won54%55%
Games won51%52%