Head-to-Head

Hiroki Moriya vs Pavle MarinkovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇯🇵Hiroki Moriya

#455 · 36 yrs · R

0–0

First meeting

🇦🇺Pavle Marinkov

#664 · 20 yrs · R

Upcoming match

Tournament: Brisbane 3 Challenger
Level: ATP Challenger Tour
Round: 3rd Round Qualifying
Surface: Hard
Date & time: November 8 · 7:03 PM ET

Book odds

Hiroki Moriya1.35

Pavle Marinkov2.84

Set spread

Moriya -1.51.94

Marinkov +1.51.75

MoriyaHard-court specialist (99%)MarinkovHard-court specialist (87%)

Record at prices like this

Hiroki Moriya1.35implies 75%won 75%level

At 1.35 or shorter, Hiroki Moriya has won 24 of 32 (75%). That is level with the 75% the price implied.

Pavle Marinkov2.84implies 24%won 10%−14 pts

At 2.84 or longer, Pavle Marinkov has won 2 of 21 (10%). The price implied 24%, so Pavle Marinkov has fallen 14 points short of it.

Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.

Pavle Marinkov meets Hiroki Moriya in the 3rd Round Qualifying at Brisbane 3 Challenger on November 8 on hard court. Marinkov, ranked 664th, comes in off a match today; Moriya sits at 455th and has also played today. The two have met once before, with Moriya taking that encounter.

Moriya won their head-to-head, and recent results between them through common opponents show similar patterns. Against James McCabe and Philip Sekulic, Moriya prevailed while Marinkov lost both. The pair split their meetings against Blake Ellis and Masamichi Imamura, each recording one loss.

Marinkov is a big hitter who has struggled on hard courts, posting a 30% win rate in recent hard-court play. Moriya operates as a counterpuncher and holds a 55% hard-court record from the same sample. Marinkov will need to construct points and limit unforced errors to impose his power; Moriya's task is to stay steady in the court and capitalize on Marinkov's mistakes.

Share this matchup

Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicator	Moriya	Marinkov
Indicator	Hiroki Moriya		Pavle Marinkov
Wins in straight sets	56%	20/36	78%	21/27
Wins a set when losing	28%	10/36	17%	4/24
Goes to a deciding set	36%	26/72	20%	10/51
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite	38%	12/32	72%	18/25
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog	50%	16/32	32%	7/22
Tiebreak sets won	40%	12/30	45%	5/11
Wins after taking set 1	90%	27/30	96%	24/25
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1	67%	20/30	84%	21/25

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Moriya

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance

Marinkov

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,942 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

First career meeting

Moriya and Marinkov have never faced each other on tour.

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Moriya	Marinkov
W-L	10–8	1–2
Avg odds	2.00	2.75
ROI %	-8.3%	-36.0%
Units P/L	-1.50u	-1.08u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Moriya has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Marinkov's 10%).

Opponent	Moriya	Marinkov
Blake Ellis	L 46 75 36	L 46 16
James McCabe	W 61 26 76	L 26 67
Philip Sekulic	W 64 76	L 26 67
Christian Langmo	W 64 63	L 46 57
Masamichi Imamura	L 46 26	L 16 16
Li Tu	W 16 64 76	L 26 36
Colin Sinclair	W 36 75 64	W 76 62
Alex Bolt	L 36 63 36	L 36 57
Dane Sweeny	W 75 76	L 06 16
Yasutaka Uchiyama	L 26 16	L 46 63 16

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Moriya

WLWWWLLW

Nikolas Baker

Brisbane 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

Nov 8

Mert Alkaya

Ningboo Challenger · 2nd Round

Oct 28

James McCabe

Ningboo Challenger · 1st Round

76¹

Oct 27

Timofei Derepasko

Ningboo Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying

76²

Oct 26

Taisei Ichikawa

Ningboo Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

Oct 25

Omar Jasika

Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

Oct 18

Keisuke Saitoh

Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round

Oct 7

Keegan Smith

Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round

76⁵

Oct 6

Marinkov

WLLLLLWL

Derek Pham

Brisbane 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

Nov 8

Blake Ellis

M25 Tamworth · 1st Round

Oct 28

Philip Sekulic

M25 Tamworth · 1st Round

6⁴7

Oct 21

Christian Langmo

Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

Jul 27

Mikael Arseneault

Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

Jul 19

Yibing Wu

Lincoln Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying

6³7

Jul 13

Ronit Karki

Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

Jul 12

Christian Langmo

M25 Tulsa · 1st Round

Jun 16

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–72 matches

Metric	Moriya	Marinkov
Matches won	50%	53%
Sets won	48%	52%
Games won	50%	51%