Hiroki Moriya vs James McCabePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hiroki Moriya and James McCabe have met 3 times since 2023; James McCabe leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Bengaluru in 2023 on hard. On hard courts McCabe leads 2–1. Across all meetings Moriya has taken 2 sets to McCabe's 4. Their most recent meeting: James McCabe won at Sydney Challenger (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Ningboo Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 27 · 12:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.45 or shorter, James McCabe has won 32 of 47 (68%). The price implied 72%, so James McCabe has fallen 4 points short of it.
At 2.59 or longer, Hiroki Moriya has won 22 of 94 (23%). The price implied 29%, so Hiroki Moriya has fallen 6 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Hiroki Moriya and James McCabe meet next at the Ningboo Challenger on October 27 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moriya | McCabe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hiroki Moriya | James McCabe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 19/34 | 69% | 24/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 9/35 | 35% | 11/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 24/69 | 33% | 22/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 11/31 | 48% | 20/42 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 14/30 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 11/29 | 46% | 18/39 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 25/28 | 80% | 28/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 19/28 | 69% | 24/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moriya 1, McCabe 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moriya
🪃 Counterpuncher
McCabe
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,401 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward James McCabe.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Nov 17, 2025
Sydney Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 31, 2024
Burnie 1 Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 20, 2023
Bengaluru
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moriya | McCabe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hiroki Moriya | James McCabe | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 5 or more | 21% | 3/14 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moriya | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 1–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | -14.5% | -67.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.17u | -4.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moriya | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
McCabe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Moriya's 20%).
| Opponent | Moriya | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| Jay Dylan Hara Friend | L 26 06 | L 64 67 46 |
| Hayato Matsuoka | L 57 36 | L 36 46 |
| Blake Ellis | L 46 75 36 | L 76 46 36 |
| Dominik Palan | W 46 61 62 | W 64 62 |
| Tung-Lin Wu | L 26 26 | W 75 76 |
| Alex Bolt | L 36 63 36 | L 67 67 |
| Masamichi Imamura | L 46 26 | W 64 76 |
| Jason Jung | L 67 67 | L 46 36 |
| Andre Ilagan | L 26 67 | L 64 46 26 |
| Dane Sweeny | W 75 76 | W 67 61 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Timofei Derepasko
Ningboo Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 26
Taisei Ichikawa
Ningboo Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 25
Omar Jasika
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 18
Keisuke Saitoh
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Keegan Smith
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Omar Jasika
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Jia Qi Huang
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Blake Ellis
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 21
Elias Ymer
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 19
Hayato Matsuoka
Jinan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Siddhant Banthia
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Federico Cina
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Lukas Neumayer
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Noah Zamora
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Dusan Lajovic
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–69 matches
| Metric | Moriya | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 53% |
| Sets won | 48% | 53% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moriya | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moriya | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |