Hiroki Moriya vs Jason KublerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hiroki Moriya and Jason Kubler have met 4 times since 2018; Jason Kubler leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Chengdu in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Kubler leads 3–1. Kubler has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Moriya has taken 2 sets to Kubler's 7. Their most recent meeting: Jason Kubler won at Brisbane 1 Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moriya | Kubler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hiroki Moriya | Jason Kubler | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 17/32 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 9/34 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 24/66 | 14% | 2/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 14/29 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 10/28 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 23/26 | 100% | 11/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 91% | 10/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moriya 0, Kubler 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moriya
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kubler
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jason Kubler.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 27, 2025
Brisbane 1 Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 3, 2022
Little Rock Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 9, 2019
Gatineau
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 2, 2018
Chengdu
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moriya | Kubler |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | - |
| ROI % | -22.1% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.87u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moriya | Kubler |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 1,420 mi · 2,285 km | — |
| Route | VIE → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kubler has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Moriya's 50%).
| Opponent | Moriya | Kubler |
|---|---|---|
| Jamie Mackenzie | W 46 64 64 | L |
| Li Tu | W 16 64 76 | W 63 63 |
| Alex Bolt | L 36 63 36 | W 75 63 |
| Marek Gengel | L 36 67 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Keisuke Saitoh
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Keegan Smith
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Omar Jasika
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Jia Qi Huang
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Blake Ellis
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Yuta Shimizu
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Maximus Jones
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Dominik Palan
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Jamie Mackenzie
M25 Timaru 1 · Quarterfinals
Mar 13
Mikal Statham
M25 Timaru 1 · 2nd Round
Mar 12
Mikal Oliver Statham
M25 Timaru · Round of 16
Mar 12
Luca Bland
M25 Timaru · Round of 32
Mar 11
Luca Bland
M25 Timaru 1 · 1st Round
Mar 10
Andy Murray
M25 Timaru 1 · 3rd Round Qualifying
Mar 9
Emilio Camacho
Davis Cup, World Group, Q, ECU-AUS 3-1 · Rubber 4
Feb 8
Frances Tiafoe
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round
Jan 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 15–66 matches
| Metric | Moriya | Kubler |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 73% |
| Sets won | 47% | 70% |
| Games won | 50% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moriya | Kubler |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moriya | Kubler |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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