Hiroki Moriya vs Jason KublerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hiroki Moriya and Jason Kubler have met 4 times since 2018; Jason Kubler leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Chengdu in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Kubler leads 3–1. Kubler has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Moriya has taken 2 sets to Kubler's 7. Their most recent meeting: Jason Kubler won at Brisbane 1 Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moriya | Kubler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hiroki Moriya | Jason Kubler | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 48% | 12/25 | 88% | 7/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 7/26 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 20/51 | 15% | 2/13 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 26% | 6/23 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 10/20 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 7/21 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 18/20 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 12/20 | 88% | 7/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moriya 0, Kubler 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moriya
🛡️ The Spoiler
Kubler
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 55% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 65 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jason Kubler.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 27, 2025
Brisbane 1 Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 3, 2022
Little Rock Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 9, 2019
Gatineau
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 2, 2018
Chengdu
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moriya | Kubler |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.93 | - |
| ROI % | -29.4% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.65u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moriya | Kubler |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | TPE | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kubler has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Moriya's 33%).
| Opponent | Moriya | Kubler |
|---|---|---|
| Li Tu | W 16 64 76 | W 63 63 |
| Alex Bolt | L 36 63 36 | W 75 63 |
| Marek Gengel | L 36 67 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kosuke Ogura
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 20
Tung-Lin Wu
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Hayato Matsuoka
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Thomas Fancutt
Lincoln challenger
Jul 13
Andreja Petrovic
Lincoln challenger
Jul 12
Jason Jung
Newport challenger
Jul 7
Alex Martinez
Newport challenger
Jul 5
Edward Winter
Cary challenger
Jun 29
Mikal Statham
M25 Timaru 1 · 2nd Round
Mar 12
Mikal Oliver Statham
M25 Timaru · Round of 16
Mar 12
Luca Bland
M25 Timaru · Round of 32
Mar 11
Luca Bland
M25 Timaru 1 · 1st Round
Mar 10
Emilio Camacho
Davis Cup, World Group, Q, ECU-AUS 3-1 · Rubber 4
Feb 8
Frances Tiafoe
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round
Jan 18
Li Tu
Playford Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 25
James Duckworth
Sydney Challenger · Semifinals
Nov 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–51 matches
| Metric | Moriya | Kubler |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 57% |
| Sets won | 47% | 55% |
| Games won | 49% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moriya | Kubler |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moriya | Kubler |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.