Frances Tiafoe vs Jason KublerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Frances Tiafoe and Jason Kubler have met 4 times since 2022; Frances Tiafoe leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Tiafoe leads 3–0. Tiafoe has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 10 sets to Kubler's 0. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Kubler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Jason Kubler | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 88% | 7/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 19/46 | 15% | 2/13 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 17/27 | 88% | 7/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tiafoe 2, Kubler 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Kubler
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 532 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 18, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 8, 2023
US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 12, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 1, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Kubler |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | - |
| ROI % | +31.0% | - |
| Units P/L | +6.20u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Kubler |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Tiafoe and Kubler posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Kubler |
|---|---|---|
| Felix Auger Aliassime | W 63 64 | W 61 60 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 76 26 16 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Mikal Statham
M25 Timaru 1 · 2nd Round
Mar 12
Mikal Oliver Statham
M25 Timaru · Round of 16
Mar 12
Luca Bland
M25 Timaru · Round of 32
Mar 11
Luca Bland
M25 Timaru 1 · 1st Round
Mar 10
Emilio Camacho
Davis Cup, World Group, Q, ECU-AUS 3-1 · Rubber 4
Feb 8
Frances Tiafoe
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round
Jan 18
Li Tu
Playford Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 25
James Duckworth
Sydney Challenger · Semifinals
Nov 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–56 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Kubler |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 57% |
| Sets won | 59% | 55% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Kubler |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Kubler |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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