Hailey Baptiste vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Hailey Baptiste
#45 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
20w33 meetings · sets 2–6
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#18 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Hailey Baptiste and Naomi Osaka have met 3 times since 2025; Naomi Osaka leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at ASB Classic - Auckland in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Osaka leads 3–0. Osaka has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Baptiste has taken 2 sets to Osaka's 6. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Baptiste | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hailey Baptiste | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 42% | 8/19 | 67% | 22/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 6/12 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 55% | 17/31 | 32% | 14/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 6/16 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 11/15 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 5/12 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 12/16 | 94% | 32/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 8/16 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Baptiste 0, Osaka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baptiste
🤖 Servebot
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 28, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 22, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 3, 2025
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baptiste | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.46 |
| ROI % | - | -14.3% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Baptiste | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Baptiste's 20%).
| Opponent | Baptiste | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 67 62 26 | L 16 46 |
| Leylah Fernandez | L 26 57 | W 64 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | L | L 46 26 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 26 62 76 | W 62 76 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 63 67 36 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Xiyu Wang
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Barbora Krejcikova
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Elina Svitolina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 3rd Round
May 10
Simona Waltert
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 8
Mirra Andreeva
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · Semifinals
Apr 30
Aryna Sabalenka
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · Quarterfinals
Apr 28
Belinda Bencic
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 4th Round
Apr 27
Jasmine Paolini
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 3rd Round
Apr 25
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Sara Bejlek
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maria Timofeeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Elise Mertens
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Katerina Siniakova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Anastasia Zakharova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–44 matches
| Metric | Baptiste | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 75% |
| Sets won | 56% | 68% |
| Games won | 52% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Baptiste | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Baptiste | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
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