Hailey Baptiste vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Hailey Baptiste
#34 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
14w33 meetings · sets 2–6
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#13 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Hailey Baptiste and Naomi Osaka have met 3 times since 2025; Naomi Osaka leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at ASB Classic - Auckland in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Osaka leads 3–0. Osaka has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Baptiste has taken 2 sets to Osaka's 6. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Baptiste | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hailey Baptiste | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 37% | 7/19 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 62% | 8/13 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 63% | 20/32 | 32% | 14/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 5/14 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 78% | 14/18 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 47% | 7/15 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Baptiste 0, Osaka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baptiste
🤖 Servebot
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 28, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 22, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 3, 2025
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baptiste | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 12–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.66 |
| ROI % | - | +7.9% |
| Units P/L | - | +1.27u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Baptiste | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 350 mi · 563 km |
| Route | — | AUT → CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Baptiste's 20%).
| Opponent | Baptiste | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 67 62 26 | L 64 67 46 |
| Leylah Fernandez | L 26 57 | W 64 64 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 26 62 76 | W 62 76 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 63 67 36 | W 62 62 |
| Coco Gauff | L 63 06 36 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Barbora Krejcikova
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Elina Svitolina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 3rd Round
May 10
Simona Waltert
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 8
Mirra Andreeva
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · Semifinals
Apr 30
Aryna Sabalenka
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · Quarterfinals
Apr 28
Belinda Bencic
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 4th Round
Apr 27
Jasmine Paolini
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 3rd Round
Apr 25
Kaitlin Quevedo
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 2nd Round
Apr 23
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 32–44 matches
| Metric | Baptiste | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 73% |
| Sets won | 55% | 67% |
| Games won | 52% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Baptiste | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Baptiste | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
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