Hailey Baptiste vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Hailey Baptiste
#34 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
14w32 meetings · sets 1–4
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
Hailey Baptiste and Jessica Pegula have met 2 times since 2022; Jessica Pegula leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Citi Open - Washington in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 2–0. Pegula has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Baptiste has taken 1 sets to Pegula's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Wuhan Open - Wuhan (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Baptiste | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hailey Baptiste | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 37% | 7/19 | 54% | 31/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 62% | 8/13 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 63% | 20/32 | 46% | 35/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 5/14 | 50% | 30/60 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 78% | 14/18 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 88% | 42/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 47% | 7/15 | 65% | 31/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Baptiste 0, Pegula 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baptiste
🤖 Servebot
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 8, 2025
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 1, 2022
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baptiste | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 17–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.48 |
| ROI % | - | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | - | +2.29u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Baptiste | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 12 |
| Distance | — | 761 mi · 1,225 km |
| Route | — | AUT → CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Baptiste's 60%).
| Opponent | Baptiste | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 63 06 36 | L 26 46 |
| Emma Navarro | W 76 06 63 | W 75 62 |
| Simona Waltert | W 67 64 64 | W 63 62 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 26 62 76 | W 64 67 60 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 67 76 62 | W 63 63 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 16 26 | W 62 64 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 61 67 63 | W 63 76 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 75 63 | W 62 63 |
| Katie Boulter | L 57 75 46 | W 64 64 |
| Yulia Putintseva | L 26 46 | W 46 64 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Barbora Krejcikova
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Elina Svitolina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 3rd Round
May 10
Simona Waltert
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 8
Mirra Andreeva
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · Semifinals
Apr 30
Aryna Sabalenka
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · Quarterfinals
Apr 28
Belinda Bencic
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 4th Round
Apr 27
Jasmine Paolini
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 3rd Round
Apr 25
Kaitlin Quevedo
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 2nd Round
Apr 23
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 32–76 matches
| Metric | Baptiste | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 75% |
| Sets won | 55% | 66% |
| Games won | 52% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Baptiste | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Baptiste | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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