Hailey Baptiste vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈHailey Baptiste
#45 Β· 24 yrs Β· Right-Handed
20w32 meetings Β· sets 1β4

πΊπΈJessica Pegula
#4 Β· 32 yrs Β· Right-Handed
5wHailey Baptiste and Jessica Pegula have met 2 times since 2022; Jessica Pegula leads 2β0. Their first meeting came at Citi Open - Washington in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 2β0. Pegula has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Baptiste has taken 1 sets to Pegula's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Wuhan Open - Wuhan (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Baptiste | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hailey Baptiste | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 42% | 8/19 | 61% | 31/51 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 6/12 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 55% | 17/31 | 41% | 27/66 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 6/16 | 55% | 29/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 11/15 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 5/12 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 12/16 | 89% | 39/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 8/16 | 70% | 31/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Baptiste 0, Pegula 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baptiste
π€ Servebot
Pegula
π The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The π The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs π€ Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jessica Pegula.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 8, 2025
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Aug 1, 2022
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Baptiste | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 14β4 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.48 |
| ROI % | - | +4.8% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.86u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Baptiste's 50%).
| Opponent | Baptiste | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 26 62 76 | L 57 26 |
| Emma Navarro | W 76 06 63 | W 36 64 63 |
| Coco Gauff | L 63 06 36 | L 26 46 |
| Simona Waltert | W 67 64 64 | W 63 62 |
| Alexandra Eala | L | L 64 46 06 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 16 26 | W 62 64 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 61 67 63 | W 63 76 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 75 63 | W 62 63 |
| Yulia Putintseva | L 26 46 | W 46 64 75 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 67 62 26 | L 62 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Xiyu Wang
French Open - Paris Β· 2nd Round
May 27
Barbora Krejcikova
French Open - Paris Β· 1st Round
May 24
Elina Svitolina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome Β· 3rd Round
May 10
Simona Waltert
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome Β· 2nd Round
May 8
Mirra Andreeva
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid Β· Semifinals
Apr 30
Aryna Sabalenka
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid Β· Quarterfinals
Apr 28
Belinda Bencic
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid Β· 4th Round
Apr 27
Jasmine Paolini
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid Β· 3rd Round
Apr 25
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York Β· Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 31β66 matches
| Metric | Baptiste | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 77% |
| Sets won | 56% | 69% |
| Games won | 52% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Baptiste | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Baptiste | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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