Grigor Dimitrov vs Mackenzie McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Grigor Dimitrov and Mackenzie McDonald have met 4 times since 2018; Grigor Dimitrov leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Dimitrov leads 3–1. Dimitrov has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Dimitrov has taken 7 sets to McDonald's 5. Their most recent meeting: Grigor Dimitrov won at China Open - Beijing (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dimitrov | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Grigor Dimitrov | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 8/11 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 32% | 9/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 9/27 | 33% | 16/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 7/19 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 4/7 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 4/14 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 10/14 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 8/14 | 68% | 13/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Dimitrov 1, McDonald 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dimitrov
🤖 Servebot
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 720 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Grigor Dimitrov.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 29, 2023
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 1, 2023
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 25, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 7, 2018
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Dimitrov | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Grigor Dimitrov | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Dimitrov | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.54 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -56.8% | -56.3% |
| Units P/L | -4.54u | -5.63u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Dimitrov | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | FRA | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Dimitrov and McDonald posted a 43% win rate.
| Opponent | Dimitrov | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Edas Butvilas | L 67 36 | W 36 63 64 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | W 76 16 64 | L 64 26 57 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 75 46 46 | L 46 57 |
| Chris Rodesch | W 63 64 | L 67 75 57 |
| Jaime Faria | L 63 57 67 | W 63 76 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 46 62 36 | L 76 67 36 |
| Terence Atmane | W 64 57 64 | W 63 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Edas Butvilas
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Holger Rune
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Elmer Moller
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Timofey Skatov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Lorenzo Giustino
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Ryan Nijboer
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Toby Samuel
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Thiago Seyboth Wild
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Stefano Napolitano
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Yibing Wu
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–51 matches
| Metric | Dimitrov | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 42% | 41% |
| Sets won | 46% | 43% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Dimitrov | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Dimitrov | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
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