Gianluca Mager vs Juan Pablo VarillasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Gianluca Mager and Juan Pablo Varillas have met 3 times since 2018; Gianluca Mager leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Padova in 2018 on clay. On clay courts Mager leads 2–1. Mager has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mager has taken 5 sets to Varillas's 3. Their most recent meeting: Gianluca Mager won at Santos (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mager | Pablo Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gianluca Mager | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 72% | 26/36 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 30% | 8/27 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 29% | 18/63 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 35% | 6/17 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 91% | 10/11 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 43% | 10/23 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 89% | 34/38 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 68% | 26/38 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mager 1, Pablo Varillas 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mager
💥 Big Hitter
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 6, 2025
Santos
C Clay · Round of 32
Aug 27, 2018
Como
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12, 2018
Padova
C Clay · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mager | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.21 |
| ROI % | - | +49.5% |
| Units P/L | - | +3.47u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mager | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | SMR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Oleg Prihodko
San Marino · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 13
Giovanni Fonio
Milan · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Alexander Weis
Perugia · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Oleg Prihodko
Turin · 1st Round Qualifying
May 12
Nicolas Kicker
Santos · Quarterfinals
May 9
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Santos · Round of 16
May 8
Juan Pablo Varillas
Santos · Round of 32
May 6
Elias Ymer
Rome · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 20
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Timofey Skatov
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Maestrelli
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jacopo Vasami
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Luis Carlos Alvarez
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Bruno Fernandez
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–63 matches
| Metric | Mager | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 57% |
| Sets won | - | 56% |
| Games won | - | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mager | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mager | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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