Gianluca Cadenasso vs Matteo ArnaldiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Gianluca Cadenasso and Matteo Arnaldi have met 1 time since 2026; Matteo Arnaldi leads 1–0. Across all meetings Cadenasso has taken 1 sets to Arnaldi's 2. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Arnaldi won at Cagliari Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cadenasso | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gianluca Cadenasso | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 25/41 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 22/60 | 58% | 21/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 16/32 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 72% | 18/25 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 35/40 | 87% | 13/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 25/40 | 47% | 7/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cadenasso 0, Arnaldi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cadenasso
⚔️ The Gladiator
Arnaldi
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 646 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 2, 2026
Cagliari Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cadenasso | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 3.42 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -50.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | -3.53u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cadenasso | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Arnaldi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Cadenasso's 50%).
| Opponent | Cadenasso | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Jesper de Jong | W 64 57 63 | W 64 76 |
| Hugo Gaston | L 46 46 | W 61 57 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Federico Cina
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Liam Broady
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 19
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 7
Matteo Arnaldi
Cagliari Challenger · Semifinals
May 2
Jesper de Jong
Cagliari Challenger · Quarterfinals
May 1
Mattia Bellucci
Cagliari Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 30
Lorenzo Carboni
Cagliari Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 29
Jacopo Vasami
Rome Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 22
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Fabian Marozsan
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Damir Dzumhur
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Federico Agustin Gomez
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Quentin Halys
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Giles Hussey
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–60 matches
| Metric | Cadenasso | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 50% |
| Sets won | 62% | 49% |
| Games won | 55% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cadenasso | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cadenasso | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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