Gianluca Cadenasso vs Martin KrumichPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Gianluca Cadenasso and Martin Krumich have met 4 times since 2022; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Genoa in 2022 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2–2. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Cadenasso leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Cadenasso has taken 4 sets to Krumich's 4. Their most recent meeting: Martin Krumich won at M25 Valencia 1 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cadenasso | Krumich | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gianluca Cadenasso | Martin Krumich | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 21/34 | 70% | 38/54 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 40% | 14/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 20/52 | 34% | 30/89 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 14/32 | 46% | 27/59 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 13/19 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 90% | 45/50 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 21/32 | 76% | 38/50 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cadenasso 2, Krumich 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cadenasso
⚔️ The Gladiator
Krumich
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Martin Krumich.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Nov 6, 2025
M25 Valencia 1
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 25, 2025
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 12
C Clay · Semifinals
Oct 18, 2025
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 11
C Clay · Final
Sep 18, 2022
Genoa
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cadenasso | Krumich | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gianluca Cadenasso | Martin Krumich | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 90% | 17/19 |
| 3 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 68% | 13/19 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 42% | 8/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cadenasso | Krumich |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 9–10 |
| Avg odds | 1.64 | 1.71 |
| ROI % | -42.4% | -22.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.97u | -4.23u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cadenasso | Krumich |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 553 mi · 890 km | 857 mi · 1,380 km |
| Route | ITA | POL → ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Krumich has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Cadenasso's 33%).
| Opponent | Cadenasso | Krumich |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew William Donald | L 36 64 57 | L 64 16 36 |
| Zdenek Kolar | L 46 46 | L 26 46 |
| Sebastian Sorger | W 36 63 61 | W 36 64 63 |
| Gabriele Piraino | W 60 62 | W 64 64 |
| Jaime Faria | L 67 63 67 | L 62 36 46 |
| Jacopo Vasami | L 46 26 | L 57 75 26 |
| Gianmarco Ferrari | W 64 60 | W 76 63 |
| Felix Gill | L 46 26 | L 67 60 36 |
| Dusan Obradovic | L 75 46 46 | W 62 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Massimo Giunta
Palermo Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Filippo Moroni
Palermo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Vitaliy Sachko
Bari Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lorenzo Angelini
Bari Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Benito Sanchez Martinez
Bari Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Matthew William Donald
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Francesco Forti
Biella Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Federico Cina
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Jonas Forejtek
Palermo Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Samuele Pieri
Palermo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Matthew William Donald
Bari Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Pierluigi Basile
Bari Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Imanol Lopez Morillo
Bari Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dominik Recek
M25 Pardubice · 1st Round
Sep 23
Tom Gentzsch
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Kacper Knitter
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–89 matches
| Metric | Cadenasso | Krumich |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 61% |
| Sets won | 60% | 59% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cadenasso | Krumich |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ITF M25 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cadenasso | Krumich |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
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