Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Juan Pablo VarillasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇦🇷Genaro Alberto Olivieri
#287 · 28 yrs · R
5 meetings · sets 3–8

🇵🇪Juan Pablo Varillas
#200 · 30 yrs · R
Genaro Alberto Olivieri and Juan Pablo Varillas have met 5 times since 2017; Juan Pablo Varillas leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Buenos Aires in 2017 on hard. On clay courts Varillas leads 4–0. Varillas has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Olivieri has taken 3 sets to Varillas's 8. Their most recent meeting: Juan Pablo Varillas won at Cordoba Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alberto Olivieri | Pablo Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 14/26 | 63% | 25/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 10/33 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 22/59 | 34% | 23/68 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 27% | 3/11 | 29% | 6/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 79% | 15/19 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 11/18 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 22/26 | 89% | 34/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 14/26 | 66% | 25/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alberto Olivieri 1, Pablo Varillas 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Olivieri
🧱 The Wall
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 55% vs 🧱 The Wall across 685 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Juan Pablo Varillas.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Mar 4, 2025
Cordoba Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 13, 2022
Rio De Janeiro Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 29, 2022
Pereira Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 22, 2021
Ambato Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 2, 2017
Buenos Aires
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Olivieri | Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| 1 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Olivieri | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | +16.2% | +32.2% |
| Units P/L | +1.45u | +5.79u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Olivieri | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 835 mi · 1,344 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ARG → BRA | ARG |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Olivieri and Varillas posted a 30% win rate.
| Opponent | Olivieri | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | L 36 36 | W 63 76 |
| Felipe Meligeni Alves | W 63 61 | L 36 16 |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | L 46 26 | L 26 67 |
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | L 57 26 | L 16 67 |
| Bruno Fernandez | L 16 76 57 | W 26 63 64 |
| Lautaro Midon | L 16 26 | L 67 46 |
| Gonzalo Villanueva | W 64 57 63 | W 63 75 |
| Franco Roncadelli | L 26 46 | L 64 26 26 |
| Andrea Collarini | W 61 46 76 | L 61 26 46 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 36 16 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Antofagasta Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Valerio Aboian
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Lucas Andrade Da Silva
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Valerio Aboian
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Max Alcala Gurri
Seville Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Tiago Pereira
Seville Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Dali Blanch
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Buenos Aires Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Murkel Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Tomas Farjat
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Genoa Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–68 matches
| Metric | Olivieri | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 59% |
| Sets won | 44% | 55% |
| Games won | 47% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Olivieri | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 4 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Olivieri | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 4 |
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