Francisco Cerundolo vs Mert AlkayaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Francisco Cerundolo and Mert Alkaya have met 1 time since 2026; Francisco Cerundolo leads 1–0. Across all meetings Cerundolo has taken 2 sets to Alkaya's 0. Their most recent meeting: Francisco Cerundolo won at Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cerundolo | Alkaya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francisco Cerundolo | Mert Alkaya | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 22/30 | 76% | 44/58 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 6/18 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 14/48 | 31% | 28/89 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 17/27 | 64% | 35/55 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 11/20 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 7/15 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 89% | 50/56 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 22/32 | 79% | 44/56 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cerundolo 1, Alkaya 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Alkaya
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mert Alkaya.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 20, 2026
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1
H Hard · Rubber 4
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cerundolo | Alkaya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francisco Cerundolo | Mert Alkaya | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 5 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 69% | 11/16 |
| 10 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Alkaya |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 1.97 |
| ROI % | +14.1% | -18.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.12u | -3.01u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Alkaya |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | — |
| Route | GBR → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Alkaya's 0%).
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Alkaya |
|---|---|---|
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 64 62 | L 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jakub Mensik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Botic van de Zandschulp
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Casper Ruud
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Mert Alkaya
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Yanki Erel
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Matthew Dellavedova
M25 Luan · Final
Oct 11
Nino Ehrenschneider
M25 Luan · Semifinals
Oct 10
Yan Cheng Chen
M25 Luan · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Ko Suzuki
M25 Luan · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Isaac Becroft
M25 Luan · 1st Round
Oct 7
Francisco Cerundolo
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Max Basing
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–89 matches
| Metric | Cerundolo | Alkaya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 65% |
| Sets won | 60% | 63% |
| Games won | 54% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cerundolo | Alkaya |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cerundolo | Alkaya |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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