Francesco Passaro vs Juan Pablo VarillasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Francesco Passaro
#229 · 25 yrs · R
5Title2 meetings · sets 1–4
🇵🇪Juan Pablo Varillas
#200 · 30 yrs · R
Francesco Passaro and Juan Pablo Varillas have met 2 times since 2024; Juan Pablo Varillas leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Santiago Challenger in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Varillas leads 2–0. Varillas has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Passaro has taken 1 sets to Varillas's 4. Their most recent meeting: Juan Pablo Varillas won at Genoa Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Passaro | Pablo Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francesco Passaro | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 62% | 24/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/49 | 35% | 23/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 14/34 | 25% | 5/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 79% | 11/14 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 16/22 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 25/33 | 89% | 33/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 20/33 | 65% | 24/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Passaro 0, Pablo Varillas 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Passaro
💥 Big Hitter
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 10, 2026
Genoa Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 15, 2024
Santiago Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Passaro | Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francesco Passaro | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 65% | 11/17 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Passaro | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–6 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.72 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | +9.5% | +32.2% |
| Units P/L | +1.61u | +5.79u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Passaro | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ITA | ARG |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Varillas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Passaro's 0%).
| Opponent | Passaro | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L | W 57 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jonas Forejtek
Palermo Challenger · Final
Oct 11
Yanaki Milev
Palermo Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 10
Enrico Dalla Valle
Palermo Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Palermo Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Oriol Roca Batalla
Palermo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Alejandro Juan Mano
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Juan Pablo Varillas
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Lorenzo Sonego
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Buenos Aires Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Murkel Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Tomas Farjat
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Genoa Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–66 matches
| Metric | Passaro | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 59% |
| Sets won | 57% | 55% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Passaro | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Passaro | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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